FISCAL INSTRUMENTS OF REGULATORY COMPETITION IN THE FACE OF CHALLENGES TO MACROECONOMIC STABILITY DURING A PANDEMIC COVID-19

N. Reznikova, O. Bulatova, O. Yatsenko, O. Ivashchenko
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Abstract

The article’s relevance lies in need for empirical testing of theoretical concepts in the new economic conditions caused by the corona crisis. The purpose of the paper is to identify the manifestations of macroeconomic instability in the period before and after the pandemic and to demonstrate the effectiveness of the use of fiscal instruments of regulatory competition to achieve the goals of the stabilization policy of the governments of countries with developed economies. The research is based on the categories of theoretical and empirical levels of knowledge. The use of the method of analysis, abstraction and synthesis, induction and deduction, as well as the system-structural method, the method of idealization, made it possible to identify new forms of manifestation of the phenomenon of fiscal regulatory competition and establish its place in the implementation of the stabilization and incentive programs of the government. It was found that the stimulation of economic activity and the increase in net exports using the instruments of fiscal neo-protectionism occurs due to a simultaneous increase in employment and a decrease in the cost of domestically produced goods, accompanied by the rise in relative consumer prices for imported goods. Using economic analysis and mathematical modelling methods confirmed the hypothesis about the stimulating effect of fiscal policy. Based on the regression analysis of the mechanism of the fiscal channel of the stabilization policy of developed countries, which influenced the dynamics of the conjuncture in the period from 2018 to 2022, a conclusion was drawn regarding the strength of its impulse. It has been found that the fiscal channel less clearly transmits the impulse from the growth of expenditures (financed by loans) to the real sector. It is assumed that in the process of signal transmission, it scatters. It has been established that in the short term, in a recession, the fiscal impulse also does not cause a jump in inflation. In the context of inflationary growth in the United States, Japan, and Germany, there is a turn towards tightening monetary policy, which limits the use of financial instruments to counter the recession and therefore increases the demand for the benefit of fiscal tools to counter the recession
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面对COVID-19大流行期间宏观经济稳定面临的挑战,监管竞争的财政工具
本文的相关性在于需要在冠状病毒危机导致的新经济条件下对理论概念进行实证检验。本文的目的是确定大流行病前后期间宏观经济不稳定的表现形式,并证明利用监管竞争的财政工具实现发达经济体政府稳定政策目标的有效性。该研究基于理论和经验层面的知识分类。运用分析方法、抽象与综合方法、归纳与演绎方法,以及系统结构方法、理想化方法,可以识别财政监管竞争现象的新表现形式,并确立其在政府稳定与激励方案实施中的地位。研究发现,利用财政新保护主义手段刺激经济活动和增加净出口是由于同时增加了就业和降低了国内生产的商品的成本,并伴随着进口商品的相对消费价格的上升。运用经济学分析和数学建模的方法,验证了财政政策刺激效应的假设。通过对2018 - 2022年发达国家稳定政策财政渠道影响危机动态的机制进行回归分析,得出其冲击力度的结论。人们发现,财政渠道不太清楚地将支出增长的冲动(由贷款提供资金)传递给实体部门。假设信号在传输过程中发生散射。已经确定的是,在经济衰退的短期内,财政刺激也不会导致通胀飙升。在美国、日本和德国通胀增长的背景下,货币政策转向紧缩,这限制了使用金融工具来应对衰退,因此增加了对财政工具收益的需求,以应对衰退
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