Analysis of the Logistic Growth Model With Taylor Matrix and Collocation Method

Elçin Çelik, Deniz Uçar
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Early analysis of infectious diseases is very important in the spread of the disease. The main aim of this study is to make important predictions and inferences for Covid 19, which is the current epidemic disease, with mathematical modeling and numerical solution methods. So we deal with the logistic growth model. We obtain carrying capacity and growth rate with Turkey epidemic data. The obtained growth rate and carrying capacity is used in the Taylor collocation method. With this method, we estimate and making predictions close to reality with Maple. We also show the estimates made with the help of graphics and tables.
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用泰勒矩阵和配点法分析Logistic增长模型
传染病的早期分析对疾病的传播非常重要。本研究的主要目的是通过数学建模和数值求解方法,对Covid - 19这一当前流行疾病进行重要的预测和推断。所以我们处理的是物流增长模型。我们利用土耳其的疫情数据获得了承载能力和增长率。得到的生长速率和承载力用于泰勒配点法。利用这种方法,我们用Maple进行了接近实际的估计和预测。我们还展示了借助图形和表格所做的估计。
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CiteScore
1.30
自引率
10.00%
发文量
60
审稿时长
12 weeks
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