How to avoid nuclear war with China

IF 1.9 4区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists Pub Date : 2023-03-04 DOI:10.1080/00963402.2023.2178161
R. Garwin, F. V. von Hippel
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Abstract

ABSTRACT The United States is in a developing military confrontation with China over Taiwan. China has built long-distance precision strike missiles to prevent US Navy task forces from participating effectively. The early Cold War confrontation between the Soviet Union and United States over West Berlin provides a relevant precedent. There is a significant probability a war between China and the United States could escalate to nuclear threats or even use. Recently, China has launched a major buildup of its nuclear forces. It is urgent that the two countries launch talks on nuclear arms control, both to prevent a nuclear arms race and to reassure each other that both want to avoid a nuclear conflict. Citizens should reengage with their governments to urge alternatives to a new nuclear arms race, and US scientists should brainstorm with their Chinese counterparts about nuclear risks and risk reduction.
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如何避免与中国发生核战争
摘要美国与中国在台湾问题上的军事对抗正在发展。中国建造了远程精确打击导弹,以阻止美国海军特遣部队有效参与。冷战初期苏联和美国在西柏林问题上的对峙提供了一个相关的先例。中美之间的战争很有可能升级为核威胁,甚至使用核武器。最近,中国启动了大规模的核力量建设。两国迫切需要就核军备控制问题展开谈判,以防止核军备竞赛,并向对方保证,双方都希望避免核冲突。公民应该与政府重新接触,敦促采取新的核军备竞赛的替代方案,美国科学家应该与中国同行就核风险和降低风险进行集思广益。
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