Historical national accounting and dating the Great Divergence

IF 1.7 1区 历史学 Q1 HISTORY Journal of Global History Pub Date : 2021-07-01 DOI:10.1017/S1740022820000388
S. Broadberry
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

Abstract By offering a particular interpretation of the new evidence on historical national accounting, Goldstone argues for a return to the Pomeranz (2000) version of the Great Divergence, beginning only after 1800. However, he fails to distinguish between two very different patterns of pre-industrial growth: (1) alternating episodes of growing and shrinking without any long-term trend in per capita income and (2) episodes of growing interspersed by per capita incomes remaining on a plateau, so that per capita GDP trends upwards over the long run. The latter dynamic pattern occurred in Britain and Holland from the mid-fourteenth century, so that Northwest Europe first edged ahead of the Yangzi delta region of China in the eighteenth century.
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历史国民核算与大分流断代
通过对历史国民核算新证据的特殊解释,戈德斯通主张回到1800年后才开始的彭慕兰(2000)版本的大分歧。然而,他未能区分工业化前两种截然不同的增长模式:(1)在人均收入没有任何长期趋势的情况下,增长和萎缩交替出现;(2)在人均收入保持稳定的情况下,增长穿插出现,因此人均GDP在长期内呈上升趋势。后一种动态模式从14世纪中期开始出现在英国和荷兰,因此西北欧在18世纪首先领先于中国的长江三角洲地区。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
3.30
自引率
5.30%
发文量
28
期刊介绍: Journal of Global History addresses the main problems of global change over time, together with the diverse histories of globalization. It also examines counter-currents to globalization, including those that have structured other spatial units. The journal seeks to transcend the dichotomy between "the West and the rest", straddle traditional regional boundaries, relate material to cultural and political history, and overcome thematic fragmentation in historiography. The journal also acts as a forum for interdisciplinary conversations across a wide variety of social and natural sciences. Published for London School of Economics and Political Science
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