{"title":"The levelized cost of energy and regulatory uncertainty in plant lifetimes","authors":"David C. Rode, P. Fischbeck","doi":"10.1080/0013791X.2021.1933283","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Abstract The levelized cost of energy is commonly used in both policymaking and capital investment decisions. It unitizes capital costs by amortizing them over an assumed asset life. The life of the asset is usually assumed to be known with certainty. But in many electric power applications, the life is both uncertain and subject to regulatory shocks. In these cases, the standard levelized cost of energy calculation is incorrect and potentially misleading. We propose a corrected version of this measure using expectation under a probability model for shortened life and show its implications for several investment and policy applications.","PeriodicalId":49210,"journal":{"name":"Engineering Economist","volume":"66 1","pages":"187 - 205"},"PeriodicalIF":1.0000,"publicationDate":"2021-08-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1080/0013791X.2021.1933283","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Engineering Economist","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1080/0013791X.2021.1933283","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q4","JCRName":"BUSINESS","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
Abstract The levelized cost of energy is commonly used in both policymaking and capital investment decisions. It unitizes capital costs by amortizing them over an assumed asset life. The life of the asset is usually assumed to be known with certainty. But in many electric power applications, the life is both uncertain and subject to regulatory shocks. In these cases, the standard levelized cost of energy calculation is incorrect and potentially misleading. We propose a corrected version of this measure using expectation under a probability model for shortened life and show its implications for several investment and policy applications.
Engineering EconomistENGINEERING, INDUSTRIAL-OPERATIONS RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT SCIENCE
CiteScore
2.00
自引率
0.00%
发文量
14
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍:
The Engineering Economist is a refereed journal published jointly by the Engineering Economy Division of the American Society of Engineering Education (ASEE) and the Institute of Industrial and Systems Engineers (IISE). The journal publishes articles, case studies, surveys, and book and software reviews that represent original research, current practice, and teaching involving problems of capital investment.
The journal seeks submissions in a number of areas, including, but not limited to: capital investment analysis, financial risk management, cost estimation and accounting, cost of capital, design economics, economic decision analysis, engineering economy education, research and development, and the analysis of public policy when it is relevant to the economic investment decisions made by engineers and technology managers.