Government Expenditure for Economic Growth: The Ethiopian Experience

Girum Dagne
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引用次数: 4

Abstract

This article investigates the relationship between sectoral government expenditure with economic growth in Ethiopia. In this study, the time series data from the period 1979–2018 is used. Autoregressive Distributed Lag approach to co-integration and error correction model are applied to investigate the short- and long-run impacts of government expenditure on economic growth. Using bound test approach to cointegration, the study revealed that agriculture, health and road expenditure has positive and significant in the long run, while expenditure on health and road has also a positive and statistically significant in short run. Applying the Granger causality test, we found a unidirectional causality running from health, transportation and communication and road government expenditure to growth at the one lag length. Therefore, it is important that the government better to spend on agriculture, health and road sectors of government expenditure for better development on these sectors and also should increase the efficiency of financial resources.
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政府支出促进经济增长:埃塞俄比亚的经验
本文研究了埃塞俄比亚部门政府支出与经济增长之间的关系。本研究使用了1979-2018年的时间序列数据。运用协整的自回归分布滞后方法和误差修正模型研究了政府支出对经济增长的短期和长期影响。利用协整的约束检验方法,研究发现农业、卫生和道路支出在长期具有正显著性,而卫生和道路支出在短期也具有正显著性。运用格兰杰因果检验发现,在一个滞后长度上,卫生、交通、道路政府支出与经济增长之间存在单向因果关系。因此,重要的是政府要更好地把用于农业、卫生和道路部门的政府支出用于更好地发展这些部门,同时还应提高财政资源的效率。
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