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IF 7.5 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Nber Macroeconomics Annual Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI:10.1086/718665
Nir Jaimovich
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

In recent years, various Organisation for Economic Co-operation andDevelopment (OECD) countries have implemented reforms targeting work incentives directed at older workers. So understanding how such reforms affect the labor market is crucial. I see this interesting and important paper by Richard Rogerson and JohannaWalleniusas as a first step in an exciting new research agenda. In this paper, the authors investigate the link between the labor market policy reforms targeting older workers and these workers’ employment rates. The paper presents an extremely useful synthesis that brings together findings from different countries, and it suggests an important avenue for further research. The paper contains numerous insights, and below I discuss the main argument. First, the authors document that the employment rate of men aged 55–64 has displayed aU-shaped pattern over the last 4 decades. Interestingly (and somewhat surprisingly), this pattern is common across many advanced economies, hinting that a common explanation could be responsible for it. At the same time, the reversal’s magnitude varies across countries. The explanation the authors put forth is based on three steps. First, the authors argue for the importance of “institutions” that gave rise to provisions that favored a reduction in employment rate of this older age group inmany countries in the 1970s and 1980s. Second, they suggest there was a mean-reverting aggregate shock that led to a recovery in the employment
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近年来,经济合作与发展组织(OECD)的各个国家都实施了针对老年工人的工作激励措施的改革。因此,了解这些改革对劳动力市场的影响至关重要。我认为Richard Rogerson和Johanna Walleniusas的这篇有趣而重要的论文是令人兴奋的新研究议程的第一步。在本文中,作者调查了针对老年工人的劳动力市场政策改革与这些工人的就业率之间的联系。这篇论文汇集了来自不同国家的研究结果,提供了一个非常有用的综合,并为进一步研究提供了一条重要途径。这篇论文包含了许多见解,下面我将讨论主要论点。首先,作者记录了55-64岁男性的就业率在过去40年中呈U型模式。有趣的是(也有点令人惊讶),这种模式在许多发达经济体中很常见,这暗示着一种共同的解释可能是造成这种情况的原因。与此同时,这种逆转的程度因国家而异。作者提出的解释基于三个步骤。首先,作者认为“制度”的重要性,这些制度在20世纪70年代和80年代产生了有利于降低许多国家这一老年群体就业率的条款。其次,他们认为存在一种均值回归的总体冲击,导致就业复苏
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5.10
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0.00%
发文量
23
期刊介绍: The Nber Macroeconomics Annual provides a forum for important debates in contemporary macroeconomics and major developments in the theory of macroeconomic analysis and policy that include leading economists from a variety of fields.
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