When the Identity of the Perpetrator Matters: The Heterogeneous Legacies of the Civil Conflict on Social Capital in Peru

IF 2 3区 经济学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Economic Development and Cultural Change Pub Date : 2021-10-22 DOI:10.1086/717341
Eduardo A. Malásquez, Edgar Salgado
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Abstract

We exploit the progression of the Peruvian conflict (1980–2000) over time and space to show that individuals’ responses to conflict violence are affected by the identity of the perpetrator. We find that a 1 standard deviation increase in exposure to all violence (from government and terrorists) reduces the perception of the importance of voting and the probability of voting by 1.4% and 1.8% (of each variable mean). However, distinguishing by the perpetrator’s identity unveils contrasting effects. A 1 standard deviation increase in exposure to government violence reduces the perception of voting importance by 4.8% and reduces participation in civil organizations by 12.8% as well as the perception that democracy works or matters by 4.8% and 3.3%. In contrast, exposure to terrorist violence strengthens social capital, although the size of the effects tends to be smaller. In addition, the period from the late teens to early twenties seems key to influencing later voting behavior, participation, and democratic beliefs. Results are robust to pretrends in the outcome variables, multiple hypothesis testing corrections, and selection into migration.
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当犯罪者的身份很重要时:秘鲁社会资本民事冲突的异质遗产
我们利用秘鲁冲突(1980-2000)随时间和空间的进展来表明个人对冲突暴力的反应受到犯罪者身份的影响。我们发现,暴露于所有暴力(来自政府和恐怖分子)的风险每增加1个标准差,投票重要性的感知和投票概率就会降低1.4%和1.8%(每个变量平均值)。然而,通过犯罪者的身份来区分,会揭示出截然不同的效果。暴露于政府暴力的程度每增加1个标准差,投票重要性的感知就会降低4.8%,参与民间组织的感知会降低12.8%,民主有效或重要的感知会降低4.8%和3.3%。相比之下,暴露于恐怖主义暴力会增强社会资本,尽管影响的规模往往较小。此外,从青少年晚期到二十出头这段时间似乎是影响后来的投票行为、参与和民主信仰的关键。结果对结果变量、多重假设检验修正和迁移选择的预趋势是稳健的。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
3.70
自引率
5.00%
发文量
75
期刊介绍: Economic Development and Cultural Change (EDCC) is an economic journal publishing studies that use modern theoretical and empirical approaches to examine both the determinants and the effects of various dimensions of economic development and cultural change. EDCC’s focus is on empirical papers with analytic underpinnings, concentrating on micro-level evidence, that use appropriate data to test theoretical models and explore policy impacts related to a broad range of topics relevant to economic development.
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