{"title":"Regional Covid-19 Mortality in Brazil by Age","authors":"E. A. Baptista, B. Queiroz","doi":"10.31235/osf.io/ujstp","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"In this study, we introduce a ternary colour coding to visualize and compare the age structure of deaths by COVID-19 (until 06/30/2020) in Brazilian small-areas using the tricolore package in R. The analysis of age profile is important to better understand the dynamics of the pandemic and how it affects the population according to age groups (0-19, 20-59, and >60 years) and regions of the country. The results highlight the importance of looking at the small-areas and show that there are many pandemics going on in Brazil at the same time, instead of a single one. The pandemic is increasing in the interior of the country, but we still observed several cases and deaths in the major cities and, as of today, very few signs of reduction in the spread of the disease. We also show that the number of cases is more concentrated in females, but deaths are prevalent among men. The CFR for males is greater than the ones for females, but also mortality for young adult males is greater when compared with other countries.","PeriodicalId":34968,"journal":{"name":"Vienna Yearbook of Population Research","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2020-07-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"3","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Vienna Yearbook of Population Research","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.31235/osf.io/ujstp","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"Social Sciences","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 3
Abstract
In this study, we introduce a ternary colour coding to visualize and compare the age structure of deaths by COVID-19 (until 06/30/2020) in Brazilian small-areas using the tricolore package in R. The analysis of age profile is important to better understand the dynamics of the pandemic and how it affects the population according to age groups (0-19, 20-59, and >60 years) and regions of the country. The results highlight the importance of looking at the small-areas and show that there are many pandemics going on in Brazil at the same time, instead of a single one. The pandemic is increasing in the interior of the country, but we still observed several cases and deaths in the major cities and, as of today, very few signs of reduction in the spread of the disease. We also show that the number of cases is more concentrated in females, but deaths are prevalent among men. The CFR for males is greater than the ones for females, but also mortality for young adult males is greater when compared with other countries.
期刊介绍：
In Europe there is currently an increasing public awareness of the importance that demographic trends have in reshaping our societies. Concerns about possible negative consequences of population aging seem to be the major force behind this new interest in demographic research. Demographers have been pointing out the fundamental change in the age composition of European populations and its potentially serious implications for social security schemes for more than two decades but it is only now that the expected retirement of the baby boom generation has come close enough in time to appear on the radar screen of social security planners and political decision makers to be considered a real challenge and not just an academic exercise.
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