Spatial SIRD model with different risk groups – multiagent approach for modelling an epidemic

Abstract

ABSTRACT This paper highlights the use of software agents and simulating real-world medical phenomena. We start with a brief overview of different approaches and tools for developing software agents and running simulations. One of the more recent tools was utilized in this paper to develop a model of disease spread in a population of agents and for performing experiments. We proposed an extension of the SIRD model, which includes a new state for agents, spatial component, and also different risk groups based on age. Multiple factors affect the longevity of a pathogen in a given population, for instance, its infectivity and deadliness. This paper shows interesting results of extensive experiments performed with novel, modified SIRD model and impact of key factors on disease spread.