The Anzhen Risk Scoring System for Acute Type A Aortic Dissection: A Prospective Observational Study Protocol

Abstract

Introduction: Acute type A aortic dissection (ATAAD) is a catastrophic disease with fatal outcomes. Malperfusion syndrome (MPS) is a serious complication of ATAAD, with an incidence of 20–40%. Many studies have shown that MPS is the main risk factor for poor ATAAD prognosis. However, a risk scoring system for ATAAD based on MPS is lacking. Here, we designed a risk scoring system for ATAAD to assess mortality through quantitative assessment of relevant organ malperfusion and subsequently develop rational treatment strategies. Methods and analysis: This was a prospective observational study. Patients’ perioperative clinical data were collected to establish a database of ATAAD (N≥3000) and determine whether these patients had malperfusion complications. The Anzhen risk scoring system was established on the basis of organ malperfusion by using a random forest survival model and a logistics model. The better method was then chosen to establish a revised risk scoring system. Ethics and dissemination: This study received ethical approval from the Ethics Committees of Beijing Anzhen Hospital, Capital Medical University (KS2019034-1). Patient consent was waived because biological samples were not collected, and no patient rights were violated. Findings will be disseminated at scientific conferences and in peer-reviewed publications.