Is technical demography becoming less relevant? Two decade review of published articles in selected demography journals

Q3 Social Sciences Etude de la Population Africaine Pub Date : 2018-10-01 DOI:10.11564/32-2-1215

J. Akinyemi, S. Adedini

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引用次数: 1

Abstract

Background : In this paper, we reviewed development in the field of technical demography and empirically demonstrate that there has been a decline in the proportion of technical demographic studies published in the last two decades. Methods: All original articles published in nine demographic journals from Africa, Europe, Australia, Canada and United States were reviewed. We derived yearly aggregate for total number of articles and number of technical demographic papers from 1994 to 2015. We illustrated the trends in the proportion of technical demographic studies in a graph and also estimated the annual rate of decline using least square regression techniques. Results: A total of 4091 studies were published in 465 issues of the selected journals between 1994 and 2015 of which 371 (9.0%) were related to technical demography. The proportion of technical demographic papers declined gradually at an annual rate of 0.42% (CI= 0.29-0.62) between 1994 (12.0%) and 2015 (10.0%). Conclusion: Technical demography need to be strengthened in order to provide the critical data and evidence required to objectively monitor the post-2015 development goals.

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技术人口统计学变得不那么重要了吗?二十年来在选定的人口统计学期刊上发表的文章的回顾

背景：在本文中，我们回顾了技术人口学领域的发展，并从经验上证明了在过去二十年中发表的技术人口学研究的比例有所下降。方法：对发表在非洲、欧洲、澳大利亚、加拿大和美国9家人口学杂志上的所有原创文章进行综述。我们得出了1994年至2015年的文章总数和技术人口统计论文数量的年度总和。我们在图表中说明了技术人口研究比例的趋势，并使用最小二乘回归技术估计了年下降率。结果：1994年至2015年间，共有4091项研究发表在465期选定期刊上，其中371项（9.0%）与技术人口学有关。1994年（12.0%）至2015年（10.0%）期间，技术人口学论文的比例以0.42%的年增长率逐渐下降（CI=0.29-0.62）。结论：需要加强技术人口学，以提供客观监测2015年后发展目标所需的关键数据和证据。

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Etude de la Population Africaine Social Sciences-Demography

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期刊介绍： African Population Studies is a biannual, peer-reviewed journal that publishes original research articles, reviews, commentaries, letters and case studies on topics related to the disciplines represented by the Union for African Population Studies Association. These disciplines include demography, population studies, public health, epidemiology, social statistics, population geography, development studies, economics and other social sciences that deal with population and development interrelationships that are unique and relevant to Africa and global audience.