Developing an Empirical Relations between Nash Model Parameters and Watersheds Topographical Characteristics for Predicting Direct Runoff Hydrograph

Abstract

The limited availability of the recorded rainfall-runoff data for many watersheds restricts the development and management of different activities of water resources. To overcome this limitation, the Natural Resources Conservation Service (NRCS) for estimating storm excess rainfall and momentum and optimization methods were combined in a mathematical model to estimate the optimal parameters of Nash Instantaneous unit hydrograph (IUH) and resulting direct runoff hydrograph (DRH), using a developed computer program in MATLAB. The available recorded data of 14 storms (out of 18) of four watersheds in northern Iraq have been applied in the calibration stage. An empirical relationship was developed between the average of each IUH optimal parameter (obtained by optimization as an optimal method according to the applied tests) and the effective watershed topographical characteristics. The developed empirical relations were used in the verification stage to estimate the IUH parameters and DRH for the verification storms and compare with that resulted from Haan’s empirical relations and optimization method. The statistical tests showed that the developed empirical relations efficiency was better than that of Haan’s method and close to that of the recorded storm by optimization method, where the average value of the Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency for the four watersheds resulted from applying the optimization method, Haan’s method and the developed empirical relations were 0.925, 0.587, 0.883 respectively. The results indicated the developed model’s ability to estimate the IUH and direct runoff hydrograph for ungauged watersheds in northern Iraq.