The Intergenerational Transmission of Party Preferences in Multiparty Contexts: Examining Parental Socialization Processes in the Netherlands

Abstract

Research shows that parents have a strong influence on the party preferences of their children. Yet little is known about how such preferences are transmitted in multiparty systems with weak party identification and high electoral volatility. We propose a model of intergenerational transmission that includes both direct effects of parents’ party preferences on those of their children, as well as indirect effects through left– right and issue positions. We test this model with original survey data of Dutch adolescents (14– 20 years old) and their parents (N = 751 adolescent-parent pairs). We find two paths through which parents exert influence on the party preferences of their adolescent children. On the first path, parental party preferences function as a direct predictor of adolescent party preferences. On the second path, adolescent left– right and issue positions function as a mediator between parental left– right and issue positions and adolescent party preferences, with the effect of left– right positions being stronger than that of issue positions. The frequency with which adolescents discuss political topics with their parents moderates these effects.