Developing an integrated approach for optimum prediction and forecasting of renewable and non-renewable energy consumption in Iran

R. Babazadeh, S. Pashapour, A. Keramati
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

Energy planning for mid and long term periods needs forecasting the energy demands in the future. The artificial neural network (ANN) is an efficient forecasting tool which have been widely applied in different fields. One of the weaknesses of the ANN method is appeared when the studied case has many input parameters affecting on the performance of output factor. Noteworthy, there is not reliable data in many applications of real world. The canonical correlation analysis (CCA) method is an efficient tool for data reduction purpose keeping useful information of the used data. The purpose of this paper is to estimate and predict the renewable and non-renewable energy consumption considering environmental and economic factors. To this aim, an integrated approach based on the CCA and ANN method is utilised. The results show that the proposed approach reduces dimension of data without losing valuable information.
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为伊朗可再生能源和不可再生能源消费的最佳预测和预测制定综合方法
中长期能源规划需要预测未来的能源需求。人工神经网络(ANN)是一种高效的预测工具,在各个领域得到了广泛的应用。当所研究的案例中有许多输入参数影响输出因子的性能时,就会出现神经网络方法的弱点之一。值得注意的是,在现实世界的许多应用中都没有可靠的数据。规范相关分析(CCA)方法是一种有效的数据约简工具,目的是保留所用数据的有用信息。本文的目的是在考虑环境和经济因素的情况下估计和预测可再生能源和不可再生能源的消耗。为此,采用了基于CCA和ANN方法的综合方法。结果表明,该方法在不丢失有价值信息的情况下降低了数据的维数。
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来源期刊
International Journal of Energy Technology and Policy
International Journal of Energy Technology and Policy Social Sciences-Geography, Planning and Development
CiteScore
1.50
自引率
0.00%
发文量
16
期刊介绍: The IJETP is a vehicle to provide a refereed and authoritative source of information in the field of energy technology and policy.
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