A Sea of Change in the MENA Region: External Intervention in Libya

IF 0.6 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Insight Turkey Pub Date : 2020-11-01 DOI:10.25253/99.2020224.08
Talha Kose, Bilgehan Öztürk
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Abstract

External interventions by both regional and global powers in Libya have not been a scarcity after the 2011 revolution. With the turn of 2014, however, the nature of external interventions became more of a military one especially with the imposition of Haftar’s rule in the east by several counter-revolutionary regional and global actors. At the point that the same counter-revolutionary alliance attempted to geopolitically strangulate Turkey both via propping up hostile and authoritarian regimes in the Middle East and North Africa, and also excluding it from the prospect of exploiting the riches of the Eastern Mediterranean, Turkish intervention materialized in early 2020. This study attempts to explain the various motivations of the major intervening actors in Libya, namely France, Russia, Egypt, and the UAE with a special focus on Turkey. Structural realist perspective is used to elucidate the international interventions to the Libyan civil war. The nature of the uncertainty emanating from the regional transformation motivated the key actors to get militarily involved in the Libyan crisis. The actors with defensive motives are more likely to stick to the conflict despite the risks of escalation.
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中东和北非地区的变革之海:利比亚的外部干预
2011年革命后,地区和全球大国对利比亚的外部干预并不少见。然而,随着2014年的到来,外部干预的性质变得更多的是军事干预,特别是随着几个反革命的地区和全球行动者在东部强加哈夫塔尔的统治。同样的反革命联盟试图通过支持中东和北非的敌对和专制政权,并将其排除在开发东地中海财富的前景之外,在地缘政治上扼杀土耳其,土耳其的干预在2020年初实现了。本研究试图解释利比亚主要干预行为者的各种动机,即法国、俄罗斯、埃及和阿联酋,并特别关注土耳其。本文运用结构现实主义的视角来阐述国际社会对利比亚内战的干预。地区转型带来的不确定性促使关键国家在军事上介入利比亚危机。具有防御动机的行动者更有可能坚持冲突,尽管存在升级的风险。
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来源期刊
Insight Turkey
Insight Turkey POLITICAL SCIENCE-
CiteScore
0.70
自引率
14.30%
发文量
31
期刊介绍: Insight Turkey, a quarterly journal in circulation since 1999, is published by SETA Foundation for Political, Economic and Social Research under the editorship of Ihsan Dagi from the Middle East Technical University. Currently in its 12th volume, Insight Turkey covers a broad range of topics related to Turkish domestic and foreign policy, as well as its adjacent regions such as the Middle East, the Caucasus, the Balkans and Europe. As a peer-reviewed policy-oriented journal, Insight Turkey intends to present original thinking by knowledgeable observers both from Turkey and abroad and provide a forum for informed discussion on Turkish politics and foreign policy.
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