Economic growth and sustainability: An analysis of the Environmental Kuznets Curve on the Legal Amazon

IF 0.1 Q4 AGRONOMY Revista Agrogeoambiental Pub Date : 2021-11-10 DOI:10.18406/2316-1817v13n220211617
Vasconcelos Reis Wakim, Jaques Otto Roma, Elizete Aparecida de Magalhães
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Abstract

The objective of this work was to analyze how deforestation of the Legal Amazon (AMZ-L) is affected by the economic growth of the states it covers, from 2000 to 2017. This study is based on the Environmental Kuznets Curve theory (EKC), proposed by Grossman and Krueger (1991). We used the panel data method considering the fixed effects to answer the research problem. The hypothesis of the EKC, in fact, happens in the initial stage, showing that, with the increase in income, deforestation rates drop, causing the curve to reverse, taking an inverted “U” shape. However, at high-income levels, deforestation increases again, thus the curve takes an “N” shape. Considering this scenario, we can conclude that the increase in income alone does not guarantee deforestation reduction. However, we must emphasize that deforestation rates are lower than in the initial stage at high-income levels, showing the government intervention is needed.
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经济增长与可持续性:合法亚马逊流域的环境库兹涅茨曲线分析
这项工作的目的是分析从2000年到2017年,合法亚马逊(AMZ-L)的森林砍伐是如何受到其覆盖的州的经济增长的影响的。本研究基于Grossman和Krueger(1991)提出的环境库兹涅茨曲线理论(EKC)。我们采用考虑固定效应的面板数据方法来回答研究问题。事实上,EKC的假设发生在初始阶段,表明随着收入的增加,森林砍伐率下降,导致曲线反转,呈倒“U”形。然而,在高收入水平,森林砍伐再次增加,因此曲线呈“N”形。考虑到这种情况,我们可以得出结论,收入的增加本身并不能保证森林砍伐的减少。然而,我们必须强调,高收入水平的森林砍伐率低于初始阶段,这表明政府干预是必要的。
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审稿时长
53 weeks
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