Turkish-German Commodity Trade and Asymmetric J-Curve

Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Applied Economics Quarterly Pub Date : 2020-04-01 DOI:10.3790/AEQ.66.2.93
Mohsen Bahmani‐Oskooee, H. Karamelikli
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

We consider the short-run and the long-run effects of the real Turkish Lira-Euro rate on the trade balance of each of the 64 industries that trade between Turkey and Germany. We find relatively more significant effects by estimating a nonlinear ARDL model for each industry. Indeed, the approach of separating currency depreciation from appreciation identified the five largest Turkish industries that engage in more than 50 % of the trade between these two countries and that benefitted from Turkish Lira depreciation against the Euro.
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土耳其-德国商品贸易与不对称J曲线
我们考虑了土耳其里拉-欧元实际汇率对土耳其和德国之间64个贸易行业的贸易平衡的短期和长期影响。通过估计每个行业的非线性ARDL模型,我们发现相对更显著的影响。事实上,将货币贬值与升值分离的方法确定了土耳其五大行业,这些行业占两国贸易的50%以上,并受益于土耳其里拉对欧元的贬值。
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来源期刊
Applied Economics Quarterly
Applied Economics Quarterly Economics, Econometrics and Finance-Economics, Econometrics and Finance (all)
CiteScore
0.50
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