Quantitative Portfolio Management Through Carbon Budgeting in a PSX Perspective

M. I. Majeed, Unbreen Arif
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Abstract

Portfolio management requires investment managers to consider investor preferences before taking any investment decisions. Some of the investors might be interested in building a clean, environmentally friendly, and carbon-free portfolio, assuming it as their corporate social responsibility (CSR) or owing to some fear of future loss arising from the ban on environment-hampering companies that might not be following the environmental, social, and governance (ESG) requirements. Historically, we have seen a ban on Chinese products because of the issues of carbon emissions. Similarly, during SMOG, many brick kilns and iron foundries are closed in Pakistan every year. The carbon budgeting on the portfolio can help achieve the CSR and sustainability goals of investors. The study attempts to develop a portfolio based on historical data, which could yield optimum results while remaining carbon conscious. The study aims to find the best-performing portfolio that could be more ESG compliant and may achieve CSR objectives to protect the environment and investors’ interests simultaneously. The findings show that companies segregated based on carbon footprint can create a carbon-free portfolio (approximately 25%) without a material impact on the expected risk and return profile. To be more ESG compliant, an investor can compromise slightly on returns, that is, only compromising 3% of the profit, we can maintain a 50% compliant portfolio in Pakistan’s environment. The study tries to improve the understanding of regulatory requirements but would also help us gain the confidence of investors who are keen to see carbon-free portfolios or in other words want to ensure investments in environmentally friendly industries.
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PSX视角下碳预算量化投资组合管理
投资组合管理要求投资经理在做出任何投资决策之前考虑投资者的偏好。一些投资者可能有兴趣建立一个清洁、环保和无碳的投资组合,将其视为他们的企业社会责任(CSR),或者因为担心环境禁令会给那些可能不遵守环境、社会和治理(ESG)要求的公司带来未来的损失。从历史上看,由于碳排放问题,我们曾看到对中国产品的禁令。同样,在SMOG期间,巴基斯坦每年都有许多砖窑和铸铁厂关闭。投资组合的碳预算有助于实现投资者的企业社会责任和可持续发展目标。这项研究试图根据历史数据开发一个投资组合,在保持碳意识的同时产生最佳结果。该研究旨在寻找表现最好的投资组合,该投资组合可能更符合ESG,并可能实现企业社会责任目标,以同时保护环境和投资者利益。研究结果表明,根据碳足迹进行分离的公司可以创建无碳投资组合(约25%),而不会对预期风险和回报产生实质性影响。为了更符合ESG,投资者可以在回报上稍微妥协,也就是说,只妥协3%的利润,我们就可以在巴基斯坦的环境中维持50%的合规投资组合。这项研究试图提高对监管要求的理解,但也有助于我们获得投资者的信心,他们渴望看到无碳投资组合,或者换句话说,希望确保投资于环保行业。
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