Russia’s Failure as a Benign Hegemon: The Domination of Hobbesian Culture in the 2008 Russo-Georgian War

Idil Syawfi, Robby Cahyadi
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Abstract

This paper aims to explain the advent of the 2008 Russo-Georgian war. It is an important question to answer due to the historical, cultural, and economic relations between the two states, as well as Russia’s aspiration as a benign hegemon should have prevented the war from happening. The fact that two closely related ex-Soviet states went to war against each other points to a fundamental problem in their relationship that could happen to other states with similar preconditions, such as Ukraine, Azerbaijan, Armenia, Moldova, and more. In order to address this issue, Wendtian Constructivism is used to analyse the social interaction, key events, and the culture of anarchy that led to open warfare. This paper mainly relies on official documents and previous research as the primary sources, using news and media coverage to validate truths and opinions on key events. Based on that, this paper finds that: 1) social interaction between the two states was consistent with the Hobbesian culture of anarchy; 2) Russia’s aspiration as a benign hegemon failed to reproduce itself due to rejection from Georgia and their success in balancing Russia with the U.S., giving Georgia the capabilities to resist Russian narratives; 3) Georgia’s confrontative behaviours led to reciprocal actions from Russia, and; 4) the Georgian offensive on Tskhinvali was the trigger that confirmed the suspicions from both sides, making both countries decision to be based on the logic of enmity.
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俄罗斯作为一个良性霸权的失败:2008年俄格战争中霍布斯文化的统治
本文旨在解释2008年俄格战争的来龙去脉。这是一个需要回答的重要问题,因为两国之间的历史、文化和经济关系,以及俄罗斯作为一个良性霸主的愿望本应阻止战争的发生。两个关系密切的前苏联国家相互开战的事实表明,它们关系中的一个根本问题可能发生在其他有类似先决条件的国家,如乌克兰、阿塞拜疆、亚美尼亚、摩尔多瓦等。为了解决这个问题,文田建构主义被用来分析导致公开战争的社会互动、关键事件和无政府文化。本文主要以官方文件和以往的研究为主要来源,利用新闻和媒体报道来验证关键事件的真相和观点。在此基础上,本文发现:(1)两个国家之间的社会互动符合霍布斯的无政府文化;2) 由于格鲁吉亚的拒绝,以及他们成功地平衡了俄罗斯与美国,使格鲁吉亚有能力抵制俄罗斯的叙事,俄罗斯作为一个良性霸主的愿望未能重现;3) 格鲁吉亚的挑衅行为导致了俄罗斯的对等行动;4) 格鲁吉亚对茨欣瓦利的进攻是证实双方怀疑的导火索,使两国都决定基于敌对逻辑。
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