T. Caraballo, M. El Fatini, Mohamed El khalifi, A. Rathinasamy
{"title":"Analysis of a stochastic coronavirus (COVID-19) Lévy jump model with protective measures","authors":"T. Caraballo, M. El Fatini, Mohamed El khalifi, A. Rathinasamy","doi":"10.1080/07362994.2021.1989312","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Abstract This paper studied a stochastic epidemic model of the spread of the novel coronavirus (COVID-19). Severe factors impacting the disease transmission are presented by white noise and compensated Poisson noise with possibly infinite characteristic measure. Large time estimates are established based on Kunita’s inequality rather than Burkholder-Davis-Gundy inequality for continuous diffusions. The effect of stochasticity is taken into account in the formulation of sufficient conditions for the extinction of COVID-19 and its persistence. Our results prove that environmental fluctuations can be privileged in controlling the pandemic behavior. Based on real parameter values, numerical results are presented to illustrate obtained results concerning the extinction and the persistence in mean of the disease.","PeriodicalId":49474,"journal":{"name":"Stochastic Analysis and Applications","volume":"41 1","pages":"45 - 59"},"PeriodicalIF":0.8000,"publicationDate":"2021-10-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"1","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Stochastic Analysis and Applications","FirstCategoryId":"100","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1080/07362994.2021.1989312","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"MATHEMATICS, APPLIED","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Abstract
Abstract This paper studied a stochastic epidemic model of the spread of the novel coronavirus (COVID-19). Severe factors impacting the disease transmission are presented by white noise and compensated Poisson noise with possibly infinite characteristic measure. Large time estimates are established based on Kunita’s inequality rather than Burkholder-Davis-Gundy inequality for continuous diffusions. The effect of stochasticity is taken into account in the formulation of sufficient conditions for the extinction of COVID-19 and its persistence. Our results prove that environmental fluctuations can be privileged in controlling the pandemic behavior. Based on real parameter values, numerical results are presented to illustrate obtained results concerning the extinction and the persistence in mean of the disease.
期刊介绍：
Stochastic Analysis and Applications presents the latest innovations in the field of stochastic theory and its practical applications, as well as the full range of related approaches to analyzing systems under random excitation. In addition, it is the only publication that offers the broad, detailed coverage necessary for the interfield and intrafield fertilization of new concepts and ideas, providing the scientific community with a unique and highly useful service.
京公网安备 11010802042870号
京ICP备2023020795号-1
分享
求助内容：
应助结果提醒方式：
扫码关注我们
