Revisit Financial Integration in Asia: New Time-Series Evidence from Stock Markets

T. Saji
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Abstract

This research reinvestigates stock market linkages in Asian region by employing Johansen cointegration and vector error correction model (VECM) based causality tests. The stock price indexes of Japan, Singapore, South Korea, India and China are used, with monthly data over 1999:09–2019:10. The empirical results find weak price convergence among Asian markets, hence are almost segmented by national borders. The asymmetrical stock price relations in Asia have important implications for the pricing efficiency of national markets and suggest several opportunities for global investors to optimise returns through portfolio diversifications across leading stock markets of the region. JEL Codes: C58; G11; G15
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重新审视亚洲金融一体化:来自股市的新时间序列证据
本研究采用基于Johansen协整和向量误差修正模型(VECM)的因果关系检验,重新探讨亚洲地区股市的关联性。使用日本、新加坡、韩国、印度和中国的股票价格指数,每月数据为1999:09-2019:10。实证结果发现,亚洲市场的价格趋同程度较弱,因此几乎被国界分割。亚洲不对称的股票价格关系对国内市场的定价效率具有重要影响,并为全球投资者提供了若干机会,通过在该地区主要股票市场进行投资组合多元化来优化回报。JEL代码:C58;为G11;G15
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