Early Detection of Cancer -The Good, the Bad, and the Ugly

M. Retsky
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Abstract

Let’s think ahead. Where might this discussion lead? Is it just an intellectual exercise or can it leads to clinically useful results. My thought is that in a year or so we will have a number (hopefully large) of papers that discuss where and when early detection of cancer works well and where and when it does not work well. Perhaps this will lead to new ideas or at least properly document problems that need to be solved. Then perhaps some smart young scientists will be motivated to work on solutions to important real problems. There is a major need for such work. I will provide one “good” example of a screening process that when done properly is excellent but when done less than properly is far less valuable. The typical patient does not know if he or she got a good colonoscopy or a less than good colonoscopy. You have to know what question to ask and what acceptable answers are. It is not obvious.
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早期发现癌症-好的,坏的和丑陋的
让我们提前考虑一下。这种讨论可能会导致什么结果?它只是一种智力练习,还是能带来临床有用的结果?我的想法是,在一年左右的时间里,我们将有一些(希望是大量的)论文来讨论癌症早期检测在何时何地有效,何时何地无效。也许这将导致新的想法,或者至少正确地记录需要解决的问题。然后,也许一些聪明的年轻科学家会受到激励,致力于解决重要的实际问题。这类工作非常需要。我将提供一个筛选过程的“好”例子,如果操作得当,则非常出色,但如果操作不当,则价值大大降低。典型的病人不知道他或她的结肠镜检查是好的还是不太好的。你必须知道该问什么问题,什么是可接受的答案。这并不明显。
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