Book Review

IF 0.5 4区 数学 Q4 SOCIAL SCIENCES, MATHEMATICAL METHODS Journal of Official Statistics Pub Date : 2022-06-01 DOI:10.2478/jos-2022-0030
Ann-Marie Flygare, Ingegerd Jansson
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As he writes, “the focus of the litigation is solely on whether the government incurred financial costs as a result of the cigarettes.” Not only are private costs ignored, but so are the suffering and loss caused by smoking and other undesirable effects that are not reflected in government expenditures. “Framing the question in this manner may seem narrow, which it is,” he writes, and he blames the “anti-smoking forces and the governmental lawsuits” for creating such a framework. But Viscusi does not go beyond this kind of sterile and limited economic view. This narrow approach might make sense if Viscusi’s book discussed only the state tobacco settlements, but it clearly does much more. Besides criticizing all other litigation against the tobacco companies (and similar litigation against other businesses), Viscusi evaluates current government and public health initiatives for reducing tobacco use, finds them lacking, and offers a controversial alternative approach. Viscusi’s analysis is often superficial and incomplete, even within the narrow framework he has chosen. In his accounting of smoking-related costs and savings, for example, Viscusi states that “this comprehensive review reflects all cost components that have been recognized in the professional economics literature.” But he later, without explanation, indicates that he “will omit influences such as costs associated with low-birthweight babies” — despite estimates that the costs resulting from smoking-affected pregnancies are as high as $2 billion per year. Other overlooked costs include Social Security survivors’ insurance payments to spouses and children of adults who die early because of smoking, cleaning and maintenance costs related to smoking, and costs related to secondhand smoke. Although Viscusi considers the costs of secondhand smoke in a separate chapter, he does not provide any estimate or substantial discussion of the costs of treating ailments caused or exacerbated by secondhand smoke, nor does he cite the published research that does so. It is also impossible to evaluate the subtotals of costs and savings that Viscusi does present, because he reveals very little about his underlying calculations, data, and assumptions. V Viscusi’s conclusion that smoking has a net positive effect on government budgets might still be valid, but he does not show why that finding would be relevant to the public health goal of minimizing the harm caused by tobacco. Indeed, Viscusi appears to reject that goal, stating that government policy should, instead, respect individual choice and promote informed risk taking by consumers. But he also argues that adopting this new goal would reduce the harm caused by smoking more effectively than current public health approaches do, by exploiting the power of competitive markets to foster the development and use of safer cigarettes. In support of this argument, Viscusi claims that the increasing use of filters and decreasing tar levels in the cigarettes consumed in the United States since the 1950s have reduced the health risks of smoking and the overall harm caused by it. He acknowledges that some smokers “may” override the benefits of filters and compensate for lower tar and nicotine levels (for example, by plugging up the vent holes in filters, inhaling more deeply, or smoking more cigarettes). But he concludes — offering very little supporting research, data, or analysis — that such behavior has not substantially reduced the health benefits from this shift to “safer” cigarettes. In contrast, the recent monograph on low-tar cigarettes published by the National Cancer Institute states that “there is no convincing evidence that changes in cigarette design between 1950 and the mid-1980s have resulted in an important decrease in the disease burden caused by cigarette use either for smokers as a group or for the whole population.” More important, Viscusi fails to account for the fact that offering “safe” cigarettes actually increases smoking rates by providing smokers with a welcome alternative to cutting back or quitting altogether. Although he acknowledges this possibility, he makes no attempt to estimate the extent to which “safe” cigarettes have increased the costs and harms of smoking or to predict how more aggressive marketing of these cigarettes might increase smoking and its related costs and harms. Other parts of the book also present a somewhat naive view of the cigarette companies. For example, Viscusi states as a fact that the tobacco industry does not support smoking by persons under 18 years of age, and he ignores the major part the companies play in impeding effective antismoking laws and regulations. Despite these problems, the book remains a useful resource for careful readers who wish to understand the chief theoretical attacks against antismoking efforts. The book also reveals numerous points of agreement between Viscusi and the public health community, such as support for eliminating smoking by young persons, for comprehensive oversight of “safer” tobacco products by the Food and Drug Administration, and for providing consumers with accurate and more refined information about the hazards of smoking. 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引用次数: 0

Abstract

ISCUSI may be the most prominent academic critic of current public health approaches to smoking, often serving as an expert witness for cigarette companies. He is perhaps best known for his conclusion that smokers provide governments with net economic benefits because they pay more in taxes than do nonsmokers and, thanks to their smoking-shortened lives, consume fewer government benefits. Viscusi’s new book, Smoke-Filled Rooms, presents itself as a critical analysis of the states’ settlements of their lawsuits against the cigarette companies. This framework serves Viscusi well, because it supports the narrow, dollars-and-cents approach he favors and excludes important public health considerations. As he writes, “the focus of the litigation is solely on whether the government incurred financial costs as a result of the cigarettes.” Not only are private costs ignored, but so are the suffering and loss caused by smoking and other undesirable effects that are not reflected in government expenditures. “Framing the question in this manner may seem narrow, which it is,” he writes, and he blames the “anti-smoking forces and the governmental lawsuits” for creating such a framework. But Viscusi does not go beyond this kind of sterile and limited economic view. This narrow approach might make sense if Viscusi’s book discussed only the state tobacco settlements, but it clearly does much more. Besides criticizing all other litigation against the tobacco companies (and similar litigation against other businesses), Viscusi evaluates current government and public health initiatives for reducing tobacco use, finds them lacking, and offers a controversial alternative approach. Viscusi’s analysis is often superficial and incomplete, even within the narrow framework he has chosen. In his accounting of smoking-related costs and savings, for example, Viscusi states that “this comprehensive review reflects all cost components that have been recognized in the professional economics literature.” But he later, without explanation, indicates that he “will omit influences such as costs associated with low-birthweight babies” — despite estimates that the costs resulting from smoking-affected pregnancies are as high as $2 billion per year. Other overlooked costs include Social Security survivors’ insurance payments to spouses and children of adults who die early because of smoking, cleaning and maintenance costs related to smoking, and costs related to secondhand smoke. Although Viscusi considers the costs of secondhand smoke in a separate chapter, he does not provide any estimate or substantial discussion of the costs of treating ailments caused or exacerbated by secondhand smoke, nor does he cite the published research that does so. It is also impossible to evaluate the subtotals of costs and savings that Viscusi does present, because he reveals very little about his underlying calculations, data, and assumptions. V Viscusi’s conclusion that smoking has a net positive effect on government budgets might still be valid, but he does not show why that finding would be relevant to the public health goal of minimizing the harm caused by tobacco. Indeed, Viscusi appears to reject that goal, stating that government policy should, instead, respect individual choice and promote informed risk taking by consumers. But he also argues that adopting this new goal would reduce the harm caused by smoking more effectively than current public health approaches do, by exploiting the power of competitive markets to foster the development and use of safer cigarettes. In support of this argument, Viscusi claims that the increasing use of filters and decreasing tar levels in the cigarettes consumed in the United States since the 1950s have reduced the health risks of smoking and the overall harm caused by it. He acknowledges that some smokers “may” override the benefits of filters and compensate for lower tar and nicotine levels (for example, by plugging up the vent holes in filters, inhaling more deeply, or smoking more cigarettes). But he concludes — offering very little supporting research, data, or analysis — that such behavior has not substantially reduced the health benefits from this shift to “safer” cigarettes. In contrast, the recent monograph on low-tar cigarettes published by the National Cancer Institute states that “there is no convincing evidence that changes in cigarette design between 1950 and the mid-1980s have resulted in an important decrease in the disease burden caused by cigarette use either for smokers as a group or for the whole population.” More important, Viscusi fails to account for the fact that offering “safe” cigarettes actually increases smoking rates by providing smokers with a welcome alternative to cutting back or quitting altogether. Although he acknowledges this possibility, he makes no attempt to estimate the extent to which “safe” cigarettes have increased the costs and harms of smoking or to predict how more aggressive marketing of these cigarettes might increase smoking and its related costs and harms. Other parts of the book also present a somewhat naive view of the cigarette companies. For example, Viscusi states as a fact that the tobacco industry does not support smoking by persons under 18 years of age, and he ignores the major part the companies play in impeding effective antismoking laws and regulations. Despite these problems, the book remains a useful resource for careful readers who wish to understand the chief theoretical attacks against antismoking efforts. The book also reveals numerous points of agreement between Viscusi and the public health community, such as support for eliminating smoking by young persons, for comprehensive oversight of “safer” tobacco products by the Food and Drug Administration, and for providing consumers with accurate and more refined information about the hazards of smoking. But here, as in the rest of the book, the devil is in the details — or their absence.
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书评
ISCUSI可能是当前公共卫生吸烟方法的最著名的学术批评者,经常作为烟草公司的专家证人。他最为人所知的可能是他的结论,即吸烟者为政府提供了净经济利益,因为他们比不吸烟者缴纳更多的税款,而且由于吸烟缩短了寿命,他们消耗的政府福利更少。维斯库西的新书《烟雾弥漫的房间》对各州对烟草公司诉讼的和解进行了批判性分析。这个框架很好地服务于维斯库西,因为它支持他所支持的狭隘的、美元和美分的方法,并排除了重要的公共卫生考虑因素。正如他所写,“诉讼的焦点完全在于政府是否因吸烟而产生财务成本。”不仅私人成本被忽视,吸烟和其他未反映在政府支出中的不良影响所造成的痛苦和损失也被忽视。他写道:“以这种方式界定这个问题可能看起来很狭隘,事实确实如此。”他指责“反吸烟势力和政府诉讼”创建了这样一个框架。但维斯库西并没有超越这种贫瘠而有限的经济观点。如果维斯库西的书只讨论了国家烟草解决方案,这种狭隘的方法可能是有道理的,但它显然做得更多。除了批评针对烟草公司的所有其他诉讼(以及针对其他企业的类似诉讼)外,Viscusi还评估了当前政府和公共卫生部门减少烟草使用的举措,发现这些举措缺乏,并提出了一种有争议的替代方法。维斯库西的分析往往是肤浅和不完整的,即使在他选择的狭窄框架内也是如此。例如,维斯库西在对吸烟相关成本和节约的核算中表示,“这篇全面的综述反映了专业经济学文献中公认的所有成本组成部分。”但他后来没有解释,表明他“将忽略与低出生体重婴儿相关的成本等影响”——尽管据估计,受吸烟影响的怀孕每年的成本高达20亿美元。其他被忽视的费用包括社会保障幸存者向因吸烟而早逝的成年人的配偶和子女支付的保险费、与吸烟有关的清洁和维护费用,以及与二手烟有关的费用。尽管维斯库西在单独的一章中考虑了二手烟的成本,但他没有对治疗二手烟引起或加剧的疾病的成本进行任何估计或实质性讨论,也没有引用已经发表的研究。也不可能评估维斯库西提出的成本和节省的小计,因为他很少透露自己的基本计算、数据和假设。V Viscusi关于吸烟对政府预算有净积极影响的结论可能仍然有效,但他没有说明为什么这一发现与最大限度地减少烟草危害的公共卫生目标有关。事实上,维斯库西似乎拒绝接受这一目标,他表示,政府政策应该尊重个人选择,促进消费者在知情的情况下承担风险。但他也认为,通过利用竞争市场的力量来促进更安全香烟的开发和使用,采用这一新目标将比目前的公共卫生方法更有效地减少吸烟造成的危害。为了支持这一论点,Viscusi声称,自20世纪50年代以来,美国香烟中过滤器的使用越来越多,焦油含量也越来越低,这降低了吸烟的健康风险及其造成的总体危害。他承认,一些吸烟者“可能”会忽视过滤器的好处,并补偿较低的焦油和尼古丁水平(例如,堵住过滤器的通风口,深吸气,或抽更多的烟)。但他得出的结论是——几乎没有提供支持性的研究、数据或分析——这种行为并没有实质性地减少向“更安全”香烟的转变对健康的益处。相比之下,美国国家癌症研究所最近出版的关于低焦油香烟的专著指出,“没有令人信服的证据表明,1950年至1980年代中期香烟设计的变化导致整个群体或整个人口因吸烟而造成的疾病负担显著减少。”更重要的是,Viscusi没有解释这样一个事实,即提供“安全”的香烟实际上通过为吸烟者提供一种受欢迎的替代方案来提高吸烟率,而不是减少吸烟或完全戒烟。 尽管他承认这种可能性,但他没有试图估计“安全”香烟在多大程度上增加了吸烟的成本和危害,也没有试图预测这些香烟更积极的营销可能会增加吸烟及其相关成本和危害。这本书的其他部分也对卷烟公司提出了一些天真的看法。例如,Viscusi指出,烟草行业不支持18岁以下的人吸烟,他忽视了这些公司在阻碍有效的禁烟法律法规方面发挥的重要作用。尽管存在这些问题,但对于那些希望了解反对吸烟的主要理论攻击的细心读者来说,这本书仍然是一个有用的资源。该书还揭示了维斯库西与公共卫生界之间的许多共识,例如支持消除年轻人吸烟,食品和药物管理局对“更安全”的烟草产品进行全面监督,以及向消费者提供关于吸烟危害的准确和更精细的信息。但在这里,就像本书的其余部分一样,魔鬼在于细节——或者说它们的缺失。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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来源期刊
Journal of Official Statistics
Journal of Official Statistics STATISTICS & PROBABILITY-
CiteScore
1.90
自引率
9.10%
发文量
39
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: JOS is an international quarterly published by Statistics Sweden. We publish research articles in the area of survey and statistical methodology and policy matters facing national statistical offices and other producers of statistics. The intended readers are researchers or practicians at statistical agencies or in universities and private organizations dealing with problems which concern aspects of production of official statistics.
期刊最新文献
Reliable event rates for disease mapping. Application of Sampling Variance Smoothing Methods for Small Area Proportion Estimation Answering Current Challenges of and Changes in Producing Official Time Use Statistics Using the Data Collection Platform MOTUS Small Area with Multiply Imputed Survey Data Temporally Consistent Present Population from Mobile Network Signaling Data for Official Statistics
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