How do economic activities spur the COVID-19 pandemic in Russia? A dynamic panel data analysis

IF 2.2 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Post-Communist Economies Pub Date : 2022-09-15 DOI:10.1080/14631377.2022.2104508
I. Iwasaki
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

ABSTRACT Russia is one of the few countries in the world that has opted for almost no policy measures involving the strong suppression of economic activity in the face of the epidemic disaster brought about by the new coronavirus (COVID-19). This makes Russia a valuable subject of social experiments through which the association between economic activity and the spread of the virus can be explored. This paper presents a dynamic panel data analysis to examine the extent to which different types of economic activity contribute to the spread of COVID-19 infection using monthly and quarterly panel data of Russian regions between March 2020 and April 2021. The results strongly supported our expectation that economic activities have a greater impact on the levels of COVID-19 transmission when they involve a larger number of inhabitants or stimulate greater consumption or social activities among citizens. It was also revealed that Russian regions vary greatly in terms of the routes that link economic activity to the spread of COVID-19. These results have important policy implications for current and future epidemic control.
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经济活动如何刺激俄罗斯的COVID-19大流行?动态面板数据分析
摘要面对新型冠状病毒(新冠肺炎)带来的疫情灾难,俄罗斯是世界上为数不多的几个选择几乎不采取任何政策措施来大力抑制经济活动的国家之一。这使俄罗斯成为一个有价值的社会实验对象,通过这个实验可以探索经济活动与病毒传播之间的联系。本文采用2020年3月至2021年4月俄罗斯各地区的月度和季度面板数据,对不同类型的经济活动对新冠肺炎感染传播的贡献程度进行了动态面板数据分析。研究结果有力地支持了我们的预期,即当经济活动涉及更多居民或刺激公民更多消费或社会活动时,经济活动对新冠肺炎传播水平的影响更大。据透露,俄罗斯各地区将经济活动与新冠肺炎传播联系起来的路线差异很大。这些结果对当前和未来的疫情控制具有重要的政策意义。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
4.90
自引率
18.20%
发文量
21
期刊介绍: Post-Communist Economies publishes key research and policy articles in the analysis of post-communist economies. The basic transformation in the past two decades through stabilisation, liberalisation and privatisation has been completed in virtually all of the former communist countries, but despite the dramatic changes that have taken place, the post-communist economies still form a clearly identifiable group, distinguished by the impact of the years of communist rule. Post-communist economies still present distinctive problems that make them a particular focus of research.
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