Analysis of approaches to modelling of attitude to risk in normative decision making methods

Oleg Uzhga-Rebrov, E. Karaseva
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

There are many methods to make decisions under risk. All of them can be divided into two large classes: normative (or prescriptive) methods and descriptive methods. Normative methods describe how individuals have to make optimal decisions based on certain decisive rules (selection criteria). Descriptive methods use empirical evidences concerning how individuals make optimal decisions in reality. There are a number of normative methods to make decisions under risk, which we mention in the presented paper as direct methods. Another popular tool to make decisions under risk is expected utility theory. The attitude to risk of the decision-making person plays the main role in decision making under risk. Therefore, attitudes to risk have to be effectively modelled and considered in decision making procedure. In this paper we are considering and analysing approaches to modelling of attitudes to risk with use of various normative methods of decision making under risk.
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规范决策方法中风险态度的建模方法分析
有许多方法可以在风险下做出决策。所有这些方法都可以分为两大类:规范性(或规定性)方法和描述性方法。规范方法描述个人如何根据某些决定性规则(选择标准)做出最佳决策。描述性方法使用关于个人如何在现实中做出最佳决策的经验证据。有许多在风险下做出决策的规范方法,我们在本文中将其称为直接方法。另一个在风险下做出决策的流行工具是预期效用理论。决策者对风险的态度在风险决策中起着重要作用。因此,必须在决策过程中有效地模拟和考虑对风险的态度。在本文中,我们正在考虑和分析的方法建模的态度,以风险下的决策使用各种规范的方法。
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来源期刊
International Journal of Risk Assessment and Management
International Journal of Risk Assessment and Management Decision Sciences-Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty
CiteScore
0.70
自引率
0.00%
发文量
1
期刊介绍: The IJRAM is an interdisciplinary and refereed journal that provides cross learning between: - Different business and economics, as well as scientific and technological, disciplines - Energy industries, environmental and ecological systems - Safety, public health and medical services - Software services, reliability and safety
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