PENGARUH INDEKS BURSA GLOBAL DAN VARIABEL MAKRO EKONOMI TERHADAP INDEKS HARGA SAHAM GABUNGAN (IHSG) PRIODE 2018-2020

Agus Salihin
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Abstract

This study aims to determine the effect of the Dow Jones Index, Nikkei 225, Hang Seng, Inflation and Exchange Rates on the Composite Stock Price Index (CSPI). This research includes quantitative research with secondary data types in the form of time series with a sample of 32 months, namely January 2018 to August 2020. The data analysis technique uses multiple linear regression analysis techniques. Based on the results of the study it can be explained that partially the Dow Jones Index, Nikkei 225 and Hang Seng have a significant positive effect on the Composite Stock Price Index (IHSG) for the 2018-2020 period. While inflation and the exchange rate did not have a positive effect on the 2018-2020 Composite Stock Price Index (CSPI). The simultaneous Dow Jones Index, Nikkei 225, Hang Seng, Inflation and Exchange rates have a positive significant effect on the Composite Stock Price Index (IHSG) for the period of 2018-2020. From the results of the analysis of the coefficient of determination of the Dow Jones Index, Nikkei 225, Hang Seng, Inflation and Exchange rates can affect the Composite Stock Price Index (CSPI) of 80%.
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全球证券交易所指数与可变宏观经济指数
本研究旨在确定道琼斯指数、日经225指数、恒生指数、通货膨胀率和汇率对综合股价指数(CSPI)的影响。本研究采用二次数据类型,以时间序列的形式进行定量研究,样本为32个月,即2018年1月至2020年8月。数据分析技术采用多元线性回归分析技术。根据研究结果,可以解释部分道琼斯指数,日经225指数和恒生指数在2018-2020年期间对综合股价指数(IHSG)有显著的正向影响。而通货膨胀和汇率对2018-2020年综合股价指数(CSPI)没有积极影响。同时道琼斯指数、日经225指数、恒生指数、通货膨胀率和汇率对2018-2020年期间的综合股价指数(IHSG)有显著的正影响。从分析结果的决定系数来看,道琼斯指数、日经225指数、恒生指数、通货膨胀率和汇率可以影响综合股价指数(CSPI)的80%。
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