Dynamic Volatility Modeling of Indonesian Insurance Company Stocks

Budiandru Budiandru
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Abstract

The Indonesian capital market is one of the investment destination countries for investors in developed countries. The development of economic conditions in Indonesia itself is considered suitable for investors to invest. Insurance sector stocks are one of the sectors that are the target of investors. This study predicts the share price of insurance companies. Data in daily form from 2010 to 2020 uses the Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity - Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (ARCH - GARCH) method. The results showed that forecasting that was carried out until 2025 all the insurance companies studied experienced an upward trend in stock prices. Investors can manage their funds by increasing or decreasing the insurance stock portfolio and adjusting the asset allocation with the investment strategy.
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印尼保险公司股票的动态波动模型
印尼资本市场是发达国家投资者的投资目的地国家之一。印尼自身经济条件的发展被认为适合投资者进行投资。保险板块股票是投资者关注的板块之一。这项研究预测了保险公司的股价。2010年至2020年的日常数据使用自回归条件异方差-广义自回归条件方差(ARCH-GARCH)方法。结果显示,在2025年之前进行的预测中,所有被研究的保险公司的股价都出现了上涨趋势。投资者可以通过增加或减少保险股票投资组合以及根据投资策略调整资产配置来管理资金。
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STRATEGI PENGEMBANGAN USAHA KECIL MENENGAH (UKM) PADA SEKTOR PARIWISATA DI PROVINSI GORONTALO DETERMINAN KEMISKINAN DI KABUPATEN PARIGI MOUTONG FAKTOR-FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI UTANG LUAR NEGERI DI INDONESIA PENGARUH PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI SEKTOR PRIMER, SEKUNDER DAN TERSIER TERHADAP PENYERAPAN TENAGA KERJA INDONESIA PENGARUH TENAGA KERJA, MODAL DAN TEKNOLOGI TERHADAP PENDAPATAN NELAYAN DI KECAMATAN KABILA BONE KABUPATEN BONE BOLANGO
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