Analysis of depopulation trends and models of rural settlements in Khorasan Razavi province, 1986–2017

IF 1.8 Q3 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Area Development and Policy Pub Date : 2022-04-07 DOI:10.1080/23792949.2022.2043170
M. Ghasemi, A. Moeini
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Abstract

ABSTRACT As a result of the speed and direction of rural depopulation, between 1986 and 2006, 59% of rural settlements were deserted in Iran’s second most populous province, Khorasan Razavi. In Iran as a whole, 37% were abandoned. A Moran’s I = 0.56 suggests that the desertion of villages in Khorasan Razavi followed a clustered pattern, with the highest rate of depopulation being in rural areas covering less than 5% of the province’s land area. Macro-economic and policy causes are outlined, as are some of the consequences and ways to promote more balanced and equitable development.
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1986-2017年呼罗珊省农村居民点人口减少趋势与模式分析
摘要由于农村人口减少的速度和方向,1986年至2006年间,在伊朗人口第二大省呼罗珊-拉扎维,59%的农村定居点被遗弃。在整个伊朗,37%被遗弃。A Moran的I=0.56表明,呼罗珊-拉扎维的村庄沙漠化呈集群模式,人口减少率最高的是农村地区,面积不到该省土地面积的5%。概述了宏观经济和政策原因,以及促进更加平衡和公平发展的一些后果和方法。
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来源期刊
Area Development and Policy
Area Development and Policy DEVELOPMENT STUDIES-
CiteScore
6.10
自引率
13.80%
发文量
27
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