Türkiye Ekonomisine Kaldoryan Bakış (1980-2020)

IF 0.2 Q4 BUSINESS, FINANCE Istanbul Iktisat Dergisi Pub Date : 2021-06-30 DOI:10.26650/ISTJECON2021-886478
Gülbahar Atasever
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Abstract

The most basic economic indicators used in international comparisons are inflation rate, unemployment rate, economic growth rate, and current account balance. In this context, when these variables are taken together within the framework of an index, they offer a practical perspective on a single country basis or in international comparisons. In this study, variables were analyzed using the TOPSIS method. During the 1980–2020 period, the narrow context of the aforementioned variables for the core, extended core, Keynesian, and heterodox Boratav year indices were calculated to make comparisons on the basis of time periods in the Turkish economy. The results obtained indicate that breakdowns in the indices by year are very similar; however, the indices differ considerably in interpreting periodic macroeconomic performance. Regarding the designated best period in terms of macroeconomic performance, while1980–1989 was the period in extended core and Keynesian indices, it was 1990–1999 according to the Boratav heterodox index, 2010–2020 according to the narrow core index, and 2000–2009 according to TOPSIS method. This result demonstrates that the Kaldorian perspective is insufficient for efficiency comparisons between periods, as factors such as human capital, productivity, institutions, and populations are excluded from the analysis.
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土耳其Ekonomisine Kaldoryan Bakış(1980-2020)
国际比较中使用的最基本的经济指标是通货膨胀率、失业率、经济增长率和经常账户余额。在这种情况下,当这些变量在指数的框架内结合在一起时,它们在单个国家的基础上或在国际比较中提供了一个实用的视角。在本研究中,使用TOPSIS方法对变量进行分析。在1980-2020年期间,计算了核心、扩展核心、凯恩斯主义和非正统Boratav年指数的上述变量的狭义背景,以根据土耳其经济的时间段进行比较。所获得的结果表明,按年份分列的指数非常相似;然而,这些指数在解释周期性宏观经济表现方面存在很大差异。关于宏观经济表现的最佳时期,1980年至1989年是扩展核心指数和凯恩斯主义指数的时期,根据Boratav外差指数为1990年至1999年,根据窄核心指数为2010年至2020年,根据TOPSIS方法为2000年至2009年。这一结果表明,由于人力资本、生产力、制度和人口等因素被排除在分析之外,Kaldorian视角不足以进行各时期之间的效率比较。
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发文量
19
审稿时长
10 weeks
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