{"title":"MATHEMATICAL ANALYSIS OF TRANSMISSION DYNAMICS OF HIV/AIDS IN RISK STRUCTURED POPULATION","authors":"Ashrafi M. Niger, C. Podder","doi":"10.1142/s0218339023500018","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"A model for assessing the impact of key population at risk in spreading HIV/AIDS is designed. The model is shown to have a globally asymptotically stable (GAS) disease-free equilibrium whenever the associated reproduction number is less than unity. It has a unique GAS endemic equilibrium whenever reproduction number exceeds unity, if there is no back and forth movement in susceptible classes. It is shown that if infected individuals with high risk abandon their risky behavioral practices, then the disease burden will reduce. Furthermore, if infected individuals with low risk do not adopt risky behaviors then the transmission of the disease will decrease. Partial Rank Correlation Coefficient (PRCC) indices are assessed using all the infection-related classes and basic reproduction number of the model. Uncertainty and sensitivity analysis results show that controlling the effective contact rate, disease-induced death rate in AIDS stage with low and high risk classes will help controlling the transmission of the disease.","PeriodicalId":54872,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Biological Systems","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.3000,"publicationDate":"2023-01-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Biological Systems","FirstCategoryId":"99","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1142/s0218339023500018","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"BIOLOGY","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
A model for assessing the impact of key population at risk in spreading HIV/AIDS is designed. The model is shown to have a globally asymptotically stable (GAS) disease-free equilibrium whenever the associated reproduction number is less than unity. It has a unique GAS endemic equilibrium whenever reproduction number exceeds unity, if there is no back and forth movement in susceptible classes. It is shown that if infected individuals with high risk abandon their risky behavioral practices, then the disease burden will reduce. Furthermore, if infected individuals with low risk do not adopt risky behaviors then the transmission of the disease will decrease. Partial Rank Correlation Coefficient (PRCC) indices are assessed using all the infection-related classes and basic reproduction number of the model. Uncertainty and sensitivity analysis results show that controlling the effective contact rate, disease-induced death rate in AIDS stage with low and high risk classes will help controlling the transmission of the disease.
期刊介绍:
The Journal of Biological Systems is published quarterly. The goal of the Journal is to promote interdisciplinary approaches in Biology and in Medicine, and the study of biological situations with a variety of tools, including mathematical and general systems methods. The Journal solicits original research papers and survey articles in areas that include (but are not limited to):
Complex systems studies; isomorphies; nonlinear dynamics; entropy; mathematical tools and systems theories with applications in Biology and Medicine.
Interdisciplinary approaches in Biology and Medicine; transfer of methods from one discipline to another; integration of biological levels, from atomic to molecular, macromolecular, cellular, and organic levels; animal biology; plant biology.
Environmental studies; relationships between individuals, populations, communities and ecosystems; bioeconomics, management of renewable resources; hierarchy theory; integration of spatial and time scales.
Evolutionary biology; co-evolutions; genetics and evolution; branching processes and phyllotaxis.
Medical systems; physiology; cardiac modeling; computer models in Medicine; cancer research; epidemiology.
Numerical simulations and computations; numerical study and analysis of biological data.
Epistemology; history of science.
The journal will also publish book reviews.