Five-Year Prognosis Model of Esophageal Cancer Based on Genetic Algorithm Improved Deep Neural Network

Abstract

Objectives

Esophageal cancer is a high occult malignant tumor. Even with good diagnosis and treatment, the 5-year survival rate of esophageal cancer patients is still less than 30%. Considering the influence of clinical characteristics on postoperative esophageal cancer patients, the construction of a neural network model will help improve the poor prognosis of patients in the five years.

Material and methods

In this study, genetic algorithm optimized deep neural network is exploited to the clinical dataset of esophageal cancer. The independent prognostic factors are screened by Relief algorithm and Cox proportional risk regression. FTD prognostic staging system is established to assess the risk level of esophageal cancer patients.

Results

FTD staging system and independent prognostic factors are integrated into the genetic algorithm optimized deep neural network. The Area Under Curve (AUC) of FTD staging system is 0.802. FTD staging system is verified by the Kaplan-Meier survival curve, and the median survival time is divided for different risk grades. The FTD staging system is superior to the TNM stages in the prognosis effect. The AUC of deep neural network optimized by genetic algorithm is 0.91.

Conclusion

The deep neural network optimized by genetic algorithm has good performance in predicting the 5-year survival status of esophageal cancer patients. The FTD staging system has a significant prognostic effect. The FTD staging system and genetic algorithm optimized deep neural network can be successfully availed in clinical diagnosis and treatment.