Effects of social distancing policy on labor market outcomes

IF 1.7 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Contemporary Economic Policy Pub Date : 2022-09-11 DOI:10.1111/coep.12582
Sumedha Gupta, Laura Montenovo, Thuy Nguyen, Felipe Lozano-Rojas, Ian Schmutte, Kosali Simon, Bruce A. Weinberg, Coady Wing
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

US workers receive unemployment benefits if they lose their job, but not for reduced working hours. In alignment with the benefits incentives, we find that the labor market responded to COVID-19 and related closure-policies mostly on the extensive (12 pp outright job loss) margin. Exploiting timing variation in state closure-policies, difference-in-differences (DiD) estimates show, between March 12 and April 12, 2020, employment rate fell by 1.7 pp for every 10 extra days of state stay-at-home orders (SAH), with little effect on hours worked/earnings among those employed. Forty percentage of the unemployment was due to a nationwide shock, rest due to social-distancing policies, particularly among “non-essential” workers.

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社交距离政策对劳动力市场结果的影响
如果美国工人失业,他们将获得失业救济,但不会因为工作时间减少而获得失业救济。根据福利激励措施,我们发现劳动力市场对新冠肺炎和相关关闭政策的反应主要是在广泛的(12人完全失业)范围内。利用州关闭政策的时间变化,差异差异(DiD)估计显示,在2020年3月12日至4月12日期间,每增加10天的州居家令(SAH),就业率就会下降1.7个百分点,对就业者的工作时间/收入几乎没有影响。40%的失业率是由于全国性的冲击,其余是由于社交距离政策,特别是在“非必要”工人中。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
3.10
自引率
6.70%
发文量
38
期刊介绍: Contemporary Economic Policy publishes scholarly economic research and analysis on issues of vital concern to business, government, and other decision makers. Leading western scholars, including three Nobel laureates, are among CEP"s authors. The objectives are to communicate results of high quality economic analysis to policymakers, focus high quality research and analysis on current policy issues of widespread concern, increase knowledge among economists of features of the economy key to understanding the impact of policy, and to advance methods of policy analysis.
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