The Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) Puzzle: A Singular and Misunderstood Commodity in World Trade

Jeff D. Makholm
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Abstract

The ocean-going trade in liquefied natural gas (LNG) is more than half a century old. The first US LNG project began commercial operation in 1971. World trade in LNG arose as countries and regions with warm climates, small populations, and no ready application for such a fuel as natural gas, like Algeria, Qatar, and Western Australia, sought to monetize their local natural resources by building large export facilities (usually at state expense) targeting industrial countries with cold winters and without indigenous fossil fuels, like Japan, Korea, parts of Europe, and New England. But great costs, complexities, paradoxes, and business failures have always accompanied the international LNG trade. Age-old rules of thumb for other commodities in world trade do not apply to LNG.

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液化天然气(LNG)之谜:世界贸易中一种奇特且被误解的商品
液化天然气的远洋贸易已有半个多世纪的历史。美国第一个液化天然气项目于1971年开始商业运营。世界液化天然气贸易的兴起是因为气候温暖、人口较少、天然气等燃料没有现成应用的国家和地区,如阿尔及利亚、卡塔尔和西澳大利亚,试图通过建造大型出口设施(通常由国家出资),将当地自然资源货币化,目标是冬季寒冷、没有本土化石燃料的工业国家,如日本,韩国、欧洲部分地区和新英格兰。但巨大的成本、复杂性、悖论和商业失败一直伴随着国际液化天然气贸易。世界贸易中其他商品的古老经验法则不适用于液化天然气。
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