Penalty kicks as cross-fertilization: On the economic psychology of sports

Ofer H. Azar, Michael Bar-Eli
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Abstract

We review some topics in which soccer penalty kicks are related to phenomena in game theory, decision making and psychology. In particular, we discuss the game theoretic analysis of the kicker's and goalkeeper's behavior and its relation to the concept of mixed strategy Nash Equilibrium. The main idea is that both players should not follow a predictable strategy, and therefore should choose different strategies over time. We also review the action bias of goalkeepers in penalty kicks, which results in them almost always jumping to one of the sides although staying in the goal's center is in fact a good strategy given the empirical distribution of kicks. We then turn to the order effect in penalty shootouts, and the debate to what extent kicking first gives the team an advantage in the shootout. These topics illustrate the opportunities offered by interdisciplinary research that combines sports with social sciences such as economics and psychology. While this interdisciplinary literature has grown significantly in recent years, research opportunities in this area abound and we hope that this article will encourage the readers to contribute to it.

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点球互为推波助澜——论体育的经济心理
我们回顾了足球点球与博弈论、决策和心理学中的现象有关的一些话题。特别是,我们讨论了踢球者和守门员行为的博弈论分析,以及它与混合策略纳什均衡概念的关系。主要思想是,两个参与者都不应该遵循可预测的策略,因此应该随着时间的推移选择不同的策略。我们还回顾了守门员在点球中的动作偏差,这导致他们几乎总是跳到一边,尽管考虑到点球的经验分布,保持在球门中心实际上是一个很好的策略。然后,我们转向点球大战中的顺序效应,以及先踢球在多大程度上给球队在点球大战中带来优势的争论。这些主题说明了将体育与经济学和心理学等社会科学相结合的跨学科研究所提供的机会。虽然近年来这一跨学科文献有了显著的发展,但这一领域的研究机会很多,我们希望这篇文章能鼓励读者为之做出贡献。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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