Socioeconomic Factors, Income Transfer Program, and the Presidential Election of 2014: Regional Voting Patterns in Brazil

Q3 Business, Management and Accounting Latin American Business Review Pub Date : 2019-08-12 DOI:10.1080/10978526.2019.1644181

Marcus Vinícius Amaral e Silva, Admir Antonio Betarelli Junior, Fernando Salgueiro Perobelli

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Abstract

Abstract An academic debate underway has sought to understand geographical polarization in the Brazilian presidential election. Recent studies have analyzed the additive effects on regional voting behavior from an economic, social, and institutional perspective, sometimes including the income transfer program Bolsa Família. However, these dimensions potentially form multiple distinct configurations that lead to a high or low voting result (percentage). The aim of this paper is to identify these logical combinations and analyze them to shed light on the regional patterns that are most consistent with the in the 2014 presidential election. The main findings suggest that the logical combination of a high percentage of Bolsa Família beneficiaries and a low degree of economic development or unfavorable domicile, urban, and social conditions covers 83% of the cases. This regional pattern of logic configurations was consistent with the pattern of voting based on political party.

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社会经济因素、收入转移计划与2014年总统选举:巴西的地区投票模式

一场正在进行的学术辩论试图理解巴西总统选举中的地理两极分化。最近的研究从经济、社会和制度的角度分析了对地区投票行为的累加效应，有时包括收入转移计划Bolsa Família。然而，这些维度可能形成多种不同的配置，从而导致高或低的投票结果(百分比)。本文的目的是识别这些逻辑组合并对其进行分析，以揭示与2014年总统选举最一致的区域模式。主要研究结果表明，83%的案例是由Bolsa Família受益人比例高与经济发展程度低或居住、城市和社会条件不利的逻辑组合造成的。这种区域逻辑配置模式与政党投票模式是一致的。

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来源期刊

Latin American Business Review Business, Management and Accounting-Business and International Management

CiteScore

2.40

自引率

0.00%

发文量

期刊介绍： Latin American Business Review is a quarterly, refereed journal which facilitates the exchange of information and new ideas between academics, business practitioners, public policymakers, and those in the international development community. Special features of the journal will keep you current on various teaching, research, and information sources. These activities all focus on the business and economic environment of the diverse and dynamic countries of the Americas.