Tail Conditional Expectations for Elliptical Distributions

Abstract

Abstract Significant changes in the insurance and financial markets are giving increasing attention to the need for developing a standard framework for risk measurement. Recently, there has been growing interest among insurance and investment experts to focus on the use of a tail conditional expectation because it shares properties that are considered desirable and applicable in a variety of situations. In particular, it satisfies requirements of a “coherent” risk measure in the spirit developed by Artzner et al. (1999). This paper derives explicit formulas for computing tail conditional expectations for elliptical distributions, a family of symmetric distributions that includes the more familiar normal and student-t distributions. The authors extend this investigation to multivariate elliptical distributions allowing them to model combinations of correlated risks. They are able to exploit properties of these distributions, naturally permitting them to decompose the conditional expectation, and allocate the contribution of individual risks to the aggregated risks. This is meaningful in practice, particularly in the case of computing capital requirements for an institution that may have several lines of correlated business and is concerned about fairly allocating the total capital to these constituents.