Experimental research in Nordic criminology

Janne Kivivuori
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引用次数: 2

Abstract

The experimental method is generally considered to be the gold standard in the difficult task of ascertaining causal relations. The core of this method is the act of randomising research units into different conditions. Thus, for instance, prisoners could be randomly allocated to receive a specific therapy while others would receive an alternative intervention. Randomisation ensures that the treatment itself is the cause of possible differential effects. Thus, the experimental method can be seen as a multivariate analysis that probes the causal power of a core variable (the intervention or other stimulus) while controlling for all other factors, including unknown factors. Methodological guides for experimental studies often talk of ‘treatment’ and control groups. Some of the other concepts in this field are also such that they evoke visions of medical research (dosage, outcome). This discourse is a natural consequence of the fact that medicine pioneered the rise of experimentation. Similarly, in criminology, randomised controlled trials of crime prevention interventions are sometimes therapies, such as cognitive-behavioural programmes. However, it needs to be stressed that the experimental method can be used to test almost any type of peopleor place-targeted crime prevention intervention. Of course, the experimental method can also be used in theoretical-substantial and methodological research. In a survey setting, for instance, the causal impact of how the nature of crime, or the social status of the offender or victim, impact people’s reactions to crime can be studied by randomising people into their response to different crime scenarios. Methodological research can use the experimental design in assessing whether and how the framing, sequencing or data collection mode of surveys impact responding. Clearly, the experimental method is not just something for the evaluation of treatment effects: its potential application domain is broad. Globally, it is possible to speak of a renaissance of the experimental design and experimental criminology over the recent decades. In the US, the Division of Experimental Criminology (DEC), one of the eight divisions of the American Society of Criminology, promotes the use of randomised trials in the field of criminology and criminal policy. European criminology similarly shows increasing interest in experiments. My participant observer’s tally of the recent Prague conference of the European Society of Criminology (2014) suggests that roughly 8 per cent of the panels included papers that utilised the experimental design. But what about Nordic criminology? A quick look at the articles published in the Journal of Scandinavian Studies in Criminology and Crime Prevention since it was launched locates three articles whose title includes words “experim*” and/or “random*” (Sorensen 2007; Balvig & Holmberg 2011; Kjaer Minke 2011). Counting all articles published from 2000–2013 (N 1⁄4 168), altogether 1.8 per cent thus appear to use or advocate the experimental method. While these three articles are of high quality, their rarity indicates that the experimental method has not been very popular in the field of Nordic social science criminology. Interestingly, all of the three articles are by Danish
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北欧犯罪学的实验研究
在确定因果关系这一艰巨任务中,实验方法通常被认为是金标准。该方法的核心是将研究单位随机分配到不同的条件中。例如,囚犯可以被随机分配接受一种特定的治疗,而其他人则接受另一种干预。随机化确保了治疗本身是可能产生不同效果的原因。因此,实验方法可以被视为一种多变量分析,在控制所有其他因素(包括未知因素)的同时,探索一个核心变量(干预或其他刺激)的因果力。实验研究的方法学指南经常提到“治疗”和对照组。这一领域的其他一些概念也使人联想到医学研究(剂量、结果)。这种说法是医学引领实验兴起这一事实的自然结果。同样,在犯罪学中,预防犯罪干预的随机对照试验有时是治疗方法,如认知行为项目。然而,需要强调的是,实验方法可以用于测试几乎任何类型的人或针对地点的预防犯罪干预。当然,实验方法也可以用于理论实体和方法论研究。例如,在一个调查环境中,犯罪的性质或罪犯或受害者的社会地位如何影响人们对犯罪的反应,可以通过随机分配人们对不同犯罪情景的反应来研究。方法学研究可以使用实验设计来评估调查的框架、排序或数据收集模式是否以及如何影响响应。显然,实验方法不仅仅是用来评估治疗效果的:它的潜在应用领域是广泛的。在全球范围内,可以说是近几十年来实验设计和实验犯罪学的复兴。在美国,作为美国犯罪学学会八大分支之一的实验犯罪学分支(DEC),提倡在犯罪学和刑事政策领域使用随机试验。欧洲犯罪学同样对实验表现出越来越大的兴趣。我的参与观察员对欧洲犯罪学学会(European Society of Criminology)最近在布拉格召开的会议(2014年)的统计表明,大约8%的讨论小组包括了采用实验设计的论文。但是北欧的犯罪学呢?快速浏览一下《斯堪的纳维亚犯罪学与犯罪预防研究杂志》自创刊以来发表的文章,可以找到三篇标题包含“实验”和/或“随机”字样的文章(Sorensen 2007;Balvig & Holmberg 2011;Kjaer Minke 2011)。计算2000年至2013年发表的所有文章(N 1⁄4 168),总共有1.8%的文章似乎使用或提倡实验方法。虽然这三篇文章的质量很高,但它们的稀少表明实验方法在北欧社会科学犯罪学领域还不是很流行。有趣的是,这三篇文章都是丹麦人写的
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