Applicability and validation of different prognostic scores in allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplant (HCT) in the post-transplant cyclophosphamide era

Abstract

We investigated the predictive capacity of six prognostic indices [Karnofsky Performance Status (KPS), Hematopoietic Cell Transplant-Specific Comorbidity Index (HCT-CI), Disease Risk Index (DRI), European Bone Marrow Transplantation (EBMT) and Revised Pre-Transplantation Assessment of Mortality (rPAM) Scores and Endothelial Activation and Stress Index (EASIX)] in 205 adults undergoing post-transplant cyclophosphamide (PTCy)-based allo-HCT. KPS, HCT-CI, DRI and EASIX grouped patients into higher and lower risk strata. KPS and EASIX maintained appropriate discrimination for OS prediction across the first 2 years after allo-HCT [receiver operating characteristic curve (area under the curve (AUC) > 55 %)]. The discriminative capacity of DRI and HCT-CI increased during the post-transplant period, with a peak of prediction at 2 years (AUC of 61.1 % and 61.8 %). The maximum rPAM discriminative capacity was at 1 year (1-year AUC of 58.2 %). The predictive capacity of the EBMT score was not demonstrated. This study validates the discrimination capacity for OS prediction of KPS, HCT-CI, DRI and EASIX in PTCy-based allo-HCT.