Model Calculations Concerning Economic Optimalization of Al‐breeding with Cattle

E. Brascamp
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引用次数: 17

Abstract

The effect of costs on the optimum breeding plan for selection for milk traits and the profitability of performance-test selection according to meat production were studied, including the consequences of beef crossing. Returns from breeding schemes were calculated from the expression of genetic superiority of selected parents (paths) in subsequent generations of offspring. Measuring the contribution of separate paths to returns was based on 'discounted expressions per cow'. The relative contribution of paths to returns and to annual genetic improvement differed, especially for path sire to breed daughter, showing a higher relative contribution to returns than to genetic improvement. A breeding plan with highest net returns (returns minus costs) was designated as optimum. Two types of breeding plans for selection for milk traits were compared: a system with semen storage during the waiting period and including slaughtering of bulls after production of a predetermined number of doses, and a system without semen storage. The first system proved to be economically advantageous. Optimum proportion selected, after performance testing, was between 1 in 2 and 1 in 4. Optimum weighing of milk and meat traits - the product of actual economic values and discounted expressions per cow - differed by path, and increasing proportion of beef crossing resulted in a shift of emphasis to milk traits. The conclusions remained unaltered if returns per cow from the expression of genetic superiority were calculated in subsequent years instead of generations, even though the generation approach gave systematic errors in discounted expressions.
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人工饲养牛经济优化的模型计算
研究了成本对奶类性状选择的最佳育种计划的影响,以及根据肉品产量进行性能试验选择的盈利能力,包括牛肉杂交的后果。育种方案的回报是根据所选亲本(路径)在后代中的遗传优势表达来计算的。衡量不同路径对回报的贡献是基于“每头牛的贴现表达式”。途径对回报的相对贡献和对年度遗传改良的相对贡献存在差异,特别是途径父系对子代的遗传改良,表现出对回报的相对贡献高于遗传改良的相对贡献。确定净收益(收益减去成本)最高的育种方案为最优方案。比较了两种选择奶性状的育种计划:一种是在等待期有精液储存的系统,包括在预定剂量的公牛生产后屠宰公牛,另一种是没有精液储存的系统。第一个系统证明在经济上是有利的。经过性能测试,选择的最佳比例介于1 / 2和1 / 4之间。乳和肉性状的最佳称重——每头牛的实际经济价值和贴现表达式的乘积——因路径而异,而牛肉杂交比例的增加导致重点转向乳性状。如果每头奶牛从遗传优势表达中获得的回报是在随后的年份而不是几代中计算的,那么结论仍然不变,即使代入法在贴现表达中存在系统性误差。
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