Introduction to the Theory of Statistics

L. Hogben
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引用次数: 87

Abstract

during 1943-44 a study of semi-starvation in volunteers under laboratory conditions. Thirty-two conscientious objectors offered themselves as subjects and lived in the laboratory of Physiological Hygiene for over a year. During a control period of three months they were given a diet containing approximately 3,500 calories per day. Then for 6 months the diet was reduced by 1,570 calories in the form of potatoes, cabbage, turnips, and cereals, and only very small portions of animal protein each week. The experimental diet resembled approximately that consumed under famine conditions in Europe. During this period they lost on an average 24 per cent. of body weight, and were reduced to a condition closely resembling famine victims. All at some time had famine oedema. The subjects were then studied for a further 3 months in the laboratory under various regimes of rehabilitation, and most of them were observed at intervals for a further 6 to 9 months. A year after the end of the starvation period, all had returned to normal and were apparently none the worse. During the year in the laboratory the bas c physiological and psychological state of the subjects was reviewed at regular intervals by teams of investigators. Important observations were made on the weight changes, the distribution of body fluids, the basal metabolism, the energy exchanges during exercise, the capacity for work, the size of the heart, adaptations in the circulatory system, and changes in the cellular elements in the blood. The psychological observations included studies of behaviour patterns, personality changes and intellectual abilities. The many important findings cannot be summarized in a review article. The Minnesota experiment, which will bccome a classic, was planned and executed by a co-ordinated team of first class investigators, and there is no record of any comparable experiment either in human physiology or in psychology. The general plan will be of interest and indeed an obligatory study for future investigators into the problems presented by adaptation of the physiological and psychological processes in man to prolonged adverse environmental conditions, and the details are important to those concerned with the practical problems of medicine in a famine. Unfortunately the choice of presentation of this great experiment is unsatisfactory. "Human Starvation" weighs 3 45 kg. and suffers, like many American books to-day, from over-nutrition. Striving for completeness, the authors have stuffed the book with observations made by persons less competent or less well-placed than themselves, and in consequence the fascinating account of the Minnesota experiment is often buried. Chapter 3, containing 29 pages, is entirely devoted to old work, long dead, which might have been allowed to rest; there are many other examples of the citation of inferior work. There must be many physiologists, psychologists, and physicians who would like a brief straightforward account of this great experiment for their personal use. Is it too much to ask Professor Keys to provide such an account, which would fall within the limits of a private purse, and slip easily into the suitcase of a physician setting out by aeroplane on famine-relief work ? R. PASSMORE
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1943年至1944年间,在实验室条件下对志愿者进行的半饥饿研究。32名拒服兵役者自愿作为研究对象,在生理卫生实验室生活了一年多。在三个月的控制期内,他们每天摄入大约3500卡路里的食物。然后在6个月的时间里,他们的饮食减少了1570卡路里的热量,包括土豆、卷心菜、萝卜和谷物,每周只摄入少量的动物蛋白。实验饮食与欧洲饥荒条件下的饮食大致相似。在这段时间里,他们的体重平均减少了24%,他们的状况与饥荒受害者非常相似。都曾有过饥荒水肿。然后,受试者在实验室中进行了为期3个月的不同康复方案的研究,其中大多数受试者每隔6至9个月进行一次观察。饥饿期结束一年后,一切都恢复了正常,显然没有任何恶化。在实验室的一年中,研究小组定期对受试者的生理和心理状态进行检查。在体重变化、体液分布、基础代谢、运动时的能量交换、工作能力、心脏大小、循环系统的适应性以及血液中细胞成分的变化等方面都进行了重要的观察。心理学观察包括对行为模式、性格变化和智力能力的研究。许多重要的发现不能在一篇综述文章中总结。将成为经典的明尼苏达实验是由一流的研究人员组成的协调团队计划和执行的,在人类生理学或心理学方面都没有任何类似的实验记录。总体规划对于未来研究人类生理和心理过程对长期不利环境条件的适应所带来的问题的研究者来说将是有趣的,而且确实是必须研究的,而其中的细节对于那些关心饥荒中医学实际问题的人来说是重要的。不幸的是,这个伟大实验的展示方式的选择并不令人满意。《人类饥饿》重345公斤。就像今天许多美国书一样,饱受营养过剩之苦。为了力求完整,作者们在书中塞满了那些能力不如他们或地位不如他们的人的观察,结果,明尼苏达实验的引人入胜的叙述常常被埋没了。第三章有二十九页,完全是在讲那些早已死去的老作品,它们本可以得到休息的;引用劣质作品的例子还有很多。一定有许多生理学家、心理学家和内科医生想要一个关于这个伟大实验的简单明了的说明,以供他们个人使用。难道要求凯斯教授提供这样一份报告太过分了吗?因为这份报告可以放在私人钱包的范围内,而且很容易塞进一个乘飞机去参加饥荒救济工作的医生的手提箱里。r . PASSMORE
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Statistical theory of prophylactic and therapeutic trials. II. Methods of operational advantage. Cohort analysis of fertility in England and Wales, 1939-50. Stature of Scotsmen aged 18 to 40 years in 1941. Incidence of neurosis related to maternal age and birth order. Factors influencing sex differences in mortality from respiratory tuberculosis in England and Wales.
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