A DISEQUILIBRIUM ANALYSIS OF THE JAPANESE LOAN MARKET: WERE THE POST-BUBBLE PERIODS IN DISEQUILIBRIUM?

IF 0.2 4区 经济学 Q4 ECONOMICS Hitotsubashi Journal of Economics Pub Date : 2011-06-01 DOI:10.15057/19218
Zhentao Liu, Kazumi Asako
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Abstract

The purpose of this paper is to investigate whether demand and supply have been equilibrated in the Japanese bank loan market over the period especially after the bubble era, and if not, what the main reasons are for this state of disequilibrium. For this purpose, we have improved and extended the analysis of Asako and Uchino (1987) by taking into account notable changes in the Japanese economy. We conclude that situation of the Japanese loan market has basically been same as in the old days of Asako and Uchino (1987), although the prevailing state of disequilibrium has shifted from excess demand to excess supply. The market loan rate lacks a mechanism for rapid adjustment towards the market equilibrium rate and it is instead guided by some policy-related interest rate that does not clear the market.
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日本贷款市场的非均衡分析:后泡沫时期是否处于非均衡状态?
本文的目的是调查日本银行贷款市场的需求和供给是否均衡,特别是在泡沫时代之后,如果没有,这种不均衡状态的主要原因是什么。为此,我们考虑到日本经济的显著变化,改进并扩展了Asako和Uchino(1987)的分析。我们得出的结论是,日本贷款市场的情况与Asako和Uchino(1987)的旧时代基本相同,尽管普遍的非均衡状态已经从过度需求转向了过度供给。市场贷款利率缺乏向市场均衡利率快速调整的机制,而是受到一些政策性利率的引导,这些利率并没有出清市场。
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