Comparative analysis of freight transport prognoses results provided by transport system model and neural network

Abstract

This paper deals with problems of processing freight statistic data into the form of time series and analysing consequent results by means of two completely different methods. The first method for calculating chosen transport trends uses the transport model Trans-Tools based on conventional mathematical and statistical functions while the second one uses the scikit learn software providing users with development environment including algorithms of neural networks. The obtained results are similar to a certain extent which shows new possibilities of progressive use of neural networks in future and enables modern approach to analysing time series not only in transportation sector. Comparative analysis of results obtained from the same transport data processed by “standard” mathematical (Trans-Tool) method and neuron-network (scikit learn) method as well as a research focused on some trends development within the scope of freight transport in EU represent goals of this work.