Binary Regression Models with Log-Link in the Cohort Studies

K. Jalava, S. Räsänen, Kaija Ala-Kojola, Saara Nironen, J. Möttönen, J. Ollgren
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Abstract

Regression models have been used to control confounding in food borne cohort studies, logistic regression has been commonly used due to easy converge. However, logistic regression provide estimates for OR only when RR estimate is lower than 10%, an unlikely situation in food borne outbreaks. Recent developments have resolved the binary model convergence problems applying log link. Food items significant in the univariable analysis were included for the multivariable analysis of two recent Finnish norovirus outbreaks. We used both log and logistic regression models in R and Bayesian model in Winbugs by SPSS and R. The log-link model could be used to identify the vehicle in the two norovirus outbreak datasets. Convergence problems were solved using Bayesian modelling. Binary model applying log link provided accurate and useful estimates of RR estimating the true risk, a suitable method of choice for multivariable analysis of outbreak cohort studies.
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队列研究中具有Log-Link的二元回归模型
回归模型在食源性队列研究中被用于控制混杂,逻辑回归因其易于收敛而被广泛使用。然而,逻辑回归只有在风险比估计低于10%时才提供OR的估计,这在食源性疫情中不太可能出现。近年来,利用日志链路解决了二元模型的收敛问题。在单变量分析中具有重要意义的食品项目被纳入芬兰最近两次诺如病毒暴发的多变量分析。我们在R中使用log和logistic回归模型,在SPSS和R中使用Winbugs中的Bayesian模型,log-link模型可以用于识别两个诺如病毒爆发数据集中的载体。采用贝叶斯模型求解收敛问题。应用日志链接的二元模型提供了准确和有用的RR估计,估计了真实风险,是多变量分析爆发队列研究的合适方法。
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