Mathematical optimization modeling for estimating the incidence of clinical diseases

Mazin Kareem Kadhim, F. A. Wahbi, A. Alridha
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引用次数: 6

Abstract

The notion that infectious disease transmission and dissemination are governed by rules that may be expressed mathematically is not new. In fact, the nonlinear dynamics of infectious illness transmission were only fully recognized in the twentieth century. However, with the Coronavirus outbreak, there is a lot of discussion and study regarding the origin of the epidemic and how it spreads before all vulnerable people are infected, as well as ideas about how the disease virulence changes during the epidemic. In this paper, we provide some critical mathematical models which are SIR and SIS and their differences in approach for the interpretation and transmission of viruses and other epidemics as well as formulate the optimal control problem with vaccinations.
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临床疾病发病率估计的数学优化建模
传染病的传播和传播受到可以用数学表达的规则的支配,这一概念并不新鲜。事实上,传染病传播的非线性动力学直到20世纪才得到充分认识。然而,随着冠状病毒的爆发,关于疫情的起源以及在所有弱势群体被感染之前如何传播,以及疫情期间疾病毒力如何变化的想法,有很多讨论和研究。本文提供了一些关键的数学模型,即SIR和SIS及其在解释和传播病毒和其他流行病的方法上的差异,并提出了接种疫苗的最优控制问题。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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