Semi-parametric regression function estimation for environmental pollution with measurement error using artificial flower pollination algorithm

O. E. Musa, Sabah Manfi Ridha
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Abstract

Artificial Intelligence Algorithms have been used in recent years in many scientific fields. We suggest employing flower pollination algorithm in the environmental field to find the best estimate of the semi-parametric regression function with measurement errors in the explanatory variables and the dependent variable, where measurement errors appear frequently in fields such as chemistry, biological sciences, medicine, and epidemiological studies, rather than an exact measurement. We estimate the regression function of the semi-parametric model by estimating the parametric model and estimating the non-parametric model, the parametric model is estimated by using an instrumental variables method (Wald method, Bartlett's method, and Durbin's method), The non-parametric model is estimated by using kernel smoothing (Nadaraya Watson), K-Nearest Neighbor smoothing and Median smoothing. The Flower Pollination algorithms were employed and structured in building the ecological model and estimating the semi-parametric regression function with measurement errors in the explanatory and dependent variables, then compare the models to choose the best model used in the environmental scope measurement errors, where the comparison between the models is done using the mean square error (MSE). These methods were applied to real data on environmental pollution/ air pollution in the city of Baghdad, and the most important conclusions that we reached when using statistical methods in estimating parameters and choosing the best model, we found that the Median-Durbin model is the best as it has less MSE, but when using flower The pollination algorithm showed that the Median-Wald model is the best because it has the lowest MSE, and when we compare the statistical methods with the FPA in selecting semi-parametric models, we notice the superiority of the FP algorithm in all methods and for all models.
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基于人工授粉算法的环境污染测量误差半参数回归函数估计
近年来,人工智能算法在许多科学领域得到了应用。在化学、生物科学、医学和流行病学研究等领域,测量误差经常出现,而不是精确的测量,因此我们建议在环境领域采用花授粉算法来寻找具有解释变量和因变量测量误差的半参数回归函数的最佳估计。我们通过估计参数模型和估计非参数模型来估计半参数模型的回归函数,参数模型通过工具变量方法(Wald方法、Bartlett方法和Durbin方法)进行估计,非参数模型通过核平滑(Nadaraya Watson)、k近邻平滑和中位数平滑进行估计。利用传粉算法构建生态模型,估计解释变量和因变量中存在测量误差的半参数回归函数,然后比较模型,选择环境范围测量误差的最佳模型,其中模型之间的比较使用均方误差(MSE)。将这些方法应用于巴格达市环境污染/空气污染的实际数据中,我们在使用统计方法估计参数和选择最佳模型时得出的最重要的结论是,我们发现medium - durbin模型的MSE较小,是最好的,但是当使用花授粉算法时,medium - wald模型的MSE最低,是最好的。当我们将统计方法与FPA算法在选择半参数模型时进行比较时,我们注意到FP算法在所有方法和所有模型中都具有优势。
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