Marcio Targa, Octávio Ribeiro de Mendonça Neto, M. Antunes, Ivam Ricardo Peleias
{"title":"Modelo para Gestão de Lojistas em Shopping Centers","authors":"Marcio Targa, Octávio Ribeiro de Mendonça Neto, M. Antunes, Ivam Ricardo Peleias","doi":"10.21714/2236-02632011v1n1tac04","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Like any investment, the shopping mall sector is subject to risks, among which is the retailer's discontinuity in the mall. This risk is related to the total cost of occupancy composed of the sum of the rent, rates and the mall's marketing fund. Thus, tools are needed to identify and analyze these risks. The aim of this study is to build a model based on the survival analysis's statistical technique, which enables the managers of a shopping mall to identify from what percentage of the total cost of occupancy in relation to sales Key Performance Cost (KPC), it is possible to gauge a retailer's continuity risk. We used a data sample consisting of 896 stores, located in six malls, for a period of 32 months. The results show that the model proved to be appropriate for indicating potential situations of default in advance. This predictive capability enables the shopping mall’s manager to adopt corrective measure to mitigate this kind of risk while there is still time.","PeriodicalId":49119,"journal":{"name":"Theory and Applications of Categories","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.4000,"publicationDate":"2011-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"1","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Theory and Applications of Categories","FirstCategoryId":"100","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.21714/2236-02632011v1n1tac04","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q4","JCRName":"MATHEMATICS","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Abstract
Like any investment, the shopping mall sector is subject to risks, among which is the retailer's discontinuity in the mall. This risk is related to the total cost of occupancy composed of the sum of the rent, rates and the mall's marketing fund. Thus, tools are needed to identify and analyze these risks. The aim of this study is to build a model based on the survival analysis's statistical technique, which enables the managers of a shopping mall to identify from what percentage of the total cost of occupancy in relation to sales Key Performance Cost (KPC), it is possible to gauge a retailer's continuity risk. We used a data sample consisting of 896 stores, located in six malls, for a period of 32 months. The results show that the model proved to be appropriate for indicating potential situations of default in advance. This predictive capability enables the shopping mall’s manager to adopt corrective measure to mitigate this kind of risk while there is still time.
期刊介绍：
The journal Theory and Applications of Categories will disseminate articles that significantly advance the study of categorical algebra or methods, or that make significant new contributions to mathematical science using categorical methods. The scope of the journal includes: all areas of pure category theory, including higher dimensional categories; applications of category theory to algebra, geometry and topology and other areas of mathematics; applications of category theory to computer science, physics and other mathematical sciences; contributions to scientific knowledge that make use of categorical methods.
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