Prostorska variabilnost sezonske količine padavin v Sloveniji v obdobju 2010–2019

IF 0.3 Q4 FORESTRY Acta Silvae et Ligni Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI:10.20315/asetl.127.3
Milan Kobal
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Abstract

The spatial variability of precipitation in Slovenia was evaluated using correlation decay distance analysis (CDD). CDD analysis essentially explores how the correlation between neighbouring stations varies according to distance. We analysed CDD for the period December 2009–November 2019 using only those meteorological stations (n = 160) with no missing values and operating at same location for the whole analysed period. For each meteorological station, we calculated the threshold distance at which the correlation between series is higher than 0.707 (r2 = 0.5). The results indicate that the highest spatial variability in precipitation is during summer (CDD = 50 km), followed by spring (CDD = 76 km), autumn (CDD = 120 km) and winter (CDD = 141 km), when the spatial variability is the lowest. The spatial variability of precipitation is similar in spring and autumn (with the lowest variability of precipitation in E and SE Slovenia), and it is lowest in S Slovenia in summer and in NW Slovenia in winter. The variogram map indicates anisotropy in the correlation decay distance for spring precipitation. Higher values of semivariance are evident in the NE-SW direction, while semivariance values in the SE-NW direction are much lower.
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斯洛文尼亚2010-2019年季节性降雨的空间变异性
利用相关衰减距离分析(CDD)对斯洛文尼亚降水的空间变异性进行了评价。CDD分析主要探讨邻近台站之间的相关性如何随距离变化。我们分析了2009年12月至2019年11月期间的CDD,只使用了在整个分析期间在同一地点运行的没有缺失值的气象站(n = 160)。对于每个气象站,我们计算了序列间相关性大于0.707的阈值距离(r2 = 0.5)。结果表明:夏季降水空间变异性最大(CDD = 50 km),其次是春季(CDD = 76 km)、秋季(CDD = 120 km)和冬季(CDD = 141 km),空间变异性最小;春季和秋季降水空间变异性相似(斯洛文尼亚东部和东南部降水变异性最低),夏季斯洛文尼亚南部和冬季斯洛文尼亚西北部降水空间变异性最低。变异图显示了春季降水相关衰减距离的各向异性。东北-西南方向的半方差值较高,东南-西北方向的半方差值较低。
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33.30%
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审稿时长
10 weeks
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