The Determinants of Rural Poverty in Nigeria

N. Etim, E. Udoh
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引用次数: 16

Abstract

Most of the population of Nigeria is rural and agriculture is the mainstay of the impoverished people’s livelihood. This paper estimated the determinants of rural poverty in Nigeria using the Tobit regression model. Through the multistage sampling technique, primary data were obtained from 150 rural farming households using a questionnaire. The Result of Tobit regression analysis shows that increase in farm income, farm size and amount of agricultural loan led to a decrease in the level of poverty by 0.9953, 0.1220 and 0.4016 x 10-6 respectively. Membership of the cooperative by household heads, ownership of certain assets, access to extension services, and modern farming inputs, increase in educational attainment and male heads of households decreased the likelihood of being poor. Findings also reveal that except for access to loan that is elastic, the responsiveness of the probability and intensity of poverty to dependency ratio, farming experience, farm size and income are inelastic.
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尼日利亚农村贫困的决定因素
尼日利亚大部分人口生活在农村,农业是贫困人民的主要生计。本文利用Tobit回归模型估计了尼日利亚农村贫困的决定因素。采用多阶段抽样方法,对150户农村农户进行问卷调查,获得原始数据。Tobit回归分析结果表明,农户收入、农户规模和农业贷款金额的增加分别使贫困水平降低0.9953、0.1220和0.4016 × 10-6。户主加入合作社、拥有某些资产、获得推广服务和现代农业投入、教育程度的提高和男性户主减少了贫困的可能性。研究结果还表明,除了获得贷款的机会具有弹性外,贫困的概率和强度对抚养比、农业经验、农场规模和收入的响应性是非弹性的。
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