Commonalities of Equity Market Fundamentals and Return Comovements: An Emerging and Frontier Market Perspective

M. Rehman, S. M. A. Shah, J. Hussain
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引用次数: 4

Abstract

Objective: To explore the bilateral relationship of trading volume, market size differential, foreign portfolio equity holdings and interest rates with international stock market co-movements. Background: Stock returns are based on the market fundamentals of companies according to traditional literature on finance however international equity markets share interconnectedness with each other. Return co-movements between any two markets therefore, are based not only on any single market fundamentals but on the bilateral relationship among stock market’s fundamentals. Method: We select ten Asian emerging and frontier equity markets from January 2000 to December 2014 using panel co-integration techniques. Pakistani equity market is selected as a home country with which bilateral equity co-movement of other markets is analyzed. Results: Long run relationship between bilateral equity market co-movement and its determinants are reported. In short-run only bilateral trading volume and exchange rate differential between the two countries have significant impact on bilateral equity co-movement. Contributions: Our study has implication for policy makers, institutional and individual investors. Understanding these relationships between bilateral equity market co-movement and its determinants can help investors to gain diversification benefits keeping in view the associated bilateral co-movement, its determinants and their underlying relationship.
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股票市场基本面和收益变动的共性:新兴市场和前沿市场的视角
目的:探讨交易量、市场规模差异、境外投资组合股权持有量和利率与国际股市走势的双边关系。背景:根据传统的金融文献,股票收益是基于公司的市场基本面,但国际股票市场具有相互关联性。因此,任何两个市场之间的收益协同运动不仅基于单一市场基本面,而且基于股市基本面之间的双边关系。方法:采用面板协整方法选取2000年1月至2014年12月10个亚洲新兴和前沿股票市场。选择巴基斯坦股票市场作为母国,分析其他市场的双边股票协同运动。结果:报告了双边股票市场共同运动及其决定因素之间的长期关系。在短期内,只有双边交易量和两国之间的汇率差异对双边股票走势有显著影响。贡献:本研究对政策制定者、机构投资者和个人投资者均有启示意义。了解双边股票市场共同运动及其决定因素之间的关系,可以帮助投资者获得多元化收益,同时考虑到相关的双边共同运动、其决定因素及其潜在关系。
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